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Championship
Referee: Andrew Kitchen
Charlton
T S U T U
0–0
Full-time
Portsmouth
T S T T S
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charlton Portsmouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charlton 6. · Portsmouth 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 West Ham 7 4 2 1 +11 +1.2 14
2 West Brom 7 4 2 1 +3 -2.8 14
3 QPR 7 3 3 1 +3 +2.6 12
4 Southampton 6 3 2 1 +7 +3.3 11
5 Swansea 6 3 2 1 +4 +1.2 11
6 Charlton 6 3 2 1 -1 -5.0 11
7 Middlesbrough 5 3 1 1 +3 +3.4 10
8 Bristol City 5 3 1 1 +2 -4.2 10
9 Birmingham 7 2 4 1 +1 +1.3 10
10 Millwall 5 3 0 2 +2 +2.3 9
11 Norwich 6 3 0 3 +1 -0.3 9
12 Sheffield United 6 2 3 1 +0 -1.7 9
13 Wolves 5 2 2 1 +3 +4.5 8
14 Watford 6 2 2 2 -1 -2.6 8
15 Stoke 6 2 1 3 -1 -3.8 7
16 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 +1.4 7
17 Bolton 7 2 1 4 -5 -1.7 7
18 Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 -1 -0.2 6
19 Blackburn 6 1 2 3 -2 -2.1 5
20 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 -2 +0.4 5
21 Cardiff 7 0 4 3 -4 +3.0 4
22 Derby 7 1 1 5 -7 -1.7 4
23 Burnley 6 0 3 3 -6 -0.2 3
24 Preston 6 1 0 5 -6 +2.0 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Charlton

4-2-3-1
13 A. Okonkwo G
20 D. McNamara D
5 L. Jones D
44 Tyler Bindon D
18 I. Mesík D
6 C. Coventry M
34 O. Skipp M
9 K. Ahearne-Grant M
19 M. Alli M
7 T. Campbell M
11 M. Leaburn F
Bench (9)
17 A. Bell
21 T. Brooks
14 S. Carey
23 C. Kelman
8 H. Knibbs
32 A. Mwamba
16 T. Ouma
26 J. Rankin-Costello
35 R. Nkeng

Coach: N. Jones

Portsmouth

4-2-3-1
31 D. Bielica G
24 T. Devlin D
2 Benjamin Arthur D
6 C. Shaughnessy D
16 J. Meghoma D
7 M. Pack M
19 R. Shein M
11 A. Kamara M
10 A. Segecic M
17 T. Shade M
9 C. Bishop F
Bench (9)
55 M. Dia
25 R. Kavuma McQueen
37 I. Mohamed
5 R. Poole
1 N. Schmid
22 Z. Swanson
8 J. Swift
27 O. Bailey
38 E. Adams

Coach: John Mousinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,72
U ✓
3,19
B
2,60
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,36
U1,5 ✓
3,00
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,66
O3,5
3,95
U3,5 ✓
1,24
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,83
BLS nei ✓
1,87

Referee

Andrew Kitchen · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.