Championship
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Charlton
Portsmouth
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
West Ham
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +11 | +1.2 | 14 |
| 2 |
West Brom
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | -2.8 | 14 |
| 3 |
QPR
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | +2.6 | 12 |
| 4 |
Southampton
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | +3.3 | 11 |
| 5 |
Swansea
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | +1.2 | 11 |
| 6 |
Charlton
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -5.0 | 11 |
| 7 |
Middlesbrough
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | +3.4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | -4.2 | 10 |
| 9 |
Birmingham
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | +1.3 | 10 |
| 10 |
Millwall
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | +2.3 | 9 |
| 11 |
Norwich
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | -0.3 | 9 |
| 12 |
Sheffield United
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +0 | -1.7 | 9 |
| 13 |
Wolves
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | +4.5 | 8 |
| 14 |
Watford
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.6 | 8 |
| 15 |
Stoke
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -3.8 | 7 |
| 16 |
Wrexham
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | +1.4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Bolton
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | -1.7 | 7 |
| 18 |
Portsmouth
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -0.2 | 6 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -2.1 | 5 |
| 20 |
Lincoln
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +0.4 | 5 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | +3.0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Derby
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | -1.7 | 4 |
| 23 |
Burnley
|
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | -0.2 | 3 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | +2.0 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Okonkwo
G
D. McNamara
D
L. Jones
D
Tyler Bindon
D
I. Mesík
D
C. Coventry
M
O. Skipp
M
K. Ahearne-Grant
M
M. Alli
M
T. Campbell
M
M. Leaburn
F
Coach: N. Jones
D. Bielica
G
T. Devlin
D
Benjamin Arthur
D
C. Shaughnessy
D
J. Meghoma
D
M. Pack
M
R. Shein
M
A. Kamara
M
A. Segecic
M
T. Shade
M
C. Bishop
F
Coach: John Mousinho
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Charlton
QPR
Stoke
Charlton
West Brom
Charlton
Charlton
Preston
Tottenham
Charlton
Andrew Kitchen · 19 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.