Championship
Referee: Will Finnie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
🔒
Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Portsmouth
QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 1–3
2,17
xG
2,07
54%
Possession
46%
17
Shots
13
6
Shots on target
6
3
Blocked shots
2
3
Goalkeeper saves
5
6
Corners
3
3
Offside
0
9
Free kicks against
13
0
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Recent head-to-head meetings
21. Mar -26 QPR – Portsmouth 6–1 26. Dec -25 Portsmouth – QPR 1–1 22. Feb -25 Portsmouth – QPR 2–1 19. Oct -24 QPR – Portsmouth 1–2Match report
Portsmouth
QPR
1–0 T. Devlin
⚽
E. Adams
🔁
K. Adamson
↦ B. Kemper
🟨
Ronnie Edwards
⚽
I. Chair
1–1
H. Vale
⚽
K. Saito
1–2
I. Chair
⚽
I. Chair
1–3
A. S. Mbengue
Half-time 1–3
R. Kavuma McQueen
🔁
↦ L. Brooke-Smith
🔁
G. Kamara
↦ K. Poku
🔁
P. Smyth
↦ K. Saito
J. Murphy
🔁
↦ A. Kamara
B. Arthur
🔁
↦ Z. Swanson
Marezi
🔁
↦ R. Poole
🔁
J. Varane
↦ A. S. Mbengue
🔁
A. Lloyd
↦ R. Burrell
O. Bailey
🔁
↦ E. Adams
Full-time 1–3
Line-ups
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1
1
N. Schmid
G
N. Schmid
G
24
T. Devlin
D
T. Devlin
D
5
R. Poole
D
R. Poole
D
6
C. Shaughnessy
D
C. Shaughnessy
D
22
Z. Swanson
D
Z. Swanson
D
19
R. R. Shein
M
R. R. Shein
M
38
E. Adams
M
E. Adams
M
11
A. Kamara
M
A. Kamara
M
10
A. Segecic
M
A. Segecic
M
28
L. Brooke-Smith
M
L. Brooke-Smith
M
9
C. Bishop
F
C. Bishop
F
Bench (9)
31
D. Bielica
2
B. Arthur
55
M. Dia
8
J. Swift
27
O. Bailey
16
L. Le Roux
25
R. Kavuma McQueen
29
Marezi
23
J. Murphy
Coach: John Mousinho
QPR
4-2-3-1
1
P. Charles
G
P. Charles
G
27
A. S. Mbengue
D
A. S. Mbengue
D
3
J. Dunne
D
J. Dunne
D
6
J. Clarke-Salter
D
J. Clarke-Salter
D
12
B. Kemper
D
B. Kemper
D
20
H. Vale
M
H. Vale
M
5
R. Edwards
M
R. Edwards
M
17
K. Poku
M
K. Poku
M
10
I. Chair
M
I. Chair
M
14
K. Saito
M
K. Saito
M
16
R. Burrell
F
R. Burrell
F
Bench (9)
13
C. Ward
4
L. Morrison
2
K. Adamson
40
J. Varane
18
G. Kamara
23
I. Alemayehu Mulugeta
11
P. Smyth
15
A. Lloyd
22
R. Kone
Coach: Julien Stephan
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.