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League Cup
Referee: A Herczeg
Tottenham
S U T S T
5–1
Full-time
Charlton
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Charlton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,50 xG 0,70
73% Possession 27%
20 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 West Ham 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Wolves 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Fleetwood Town 2 2 0 0 +5 +0.2 6
5 Norwich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Lincoln 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Sheffield United 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Reading 2 1 1 0 +3 +0.3 4
10 Stoke 2 1 1 0 +2 -1.0 4
11 Leyton Orient 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 Barnsley 2 1 1 0 +1 4
13 Millwall 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.4 4
14 Walsall 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +5 +1.5 3
16 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Luton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Coventry 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.5 3
22 Bradford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Crewe 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Cambridge United 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.4 3
29 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 -1 3
30 Southampton 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Leicester 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Stevenage 2 1 0 1 -2 -0.3 3
34 Watford 2 1 0 1 -3 3
35 Birmingham 2 1 0 1 -4 -1.5 3
36 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Burnley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Notts County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Hull 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.0 1
43 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Bromley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Newport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Rochdale 2 0 1 1 -2 1
50 Doncaster 2 0 1 1 -2 1
51 Shrewsbury 2 0 1 1 -4 -0.2 1
52 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Derby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Accrington ST 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Bolton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
69 Oldham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Colchester 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Mansfield Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Herczeg · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.