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Championship
Referee: Tom Nield
Charlton
S T S U T
0–0
Full-time
QPR
S U S S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charlton QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,48 xG 1,10
28% Possession 72%
9 Shots 15
0 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 12
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charlton 8. · QPR 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 West Brom 6 4 1 1 +3 -2.8 13
2 Southampton 6 3 2 1 +7 +3.3 11
3 West Ham 6 3 2 1 +5 +1.2 11
4 Swansea 6 3 2 1 +4 +1.2 11
5 Middlesbrough 5 3 1 1 +3 +3.4 10
6 QPR 5 3 1 1 +3 +2.0 10
7 Bristol City 5 3 1 1 +2 -4.2 10
8 Charlton 5 3 1 1 -1 -4.4 10
9 Millwall 5 3 0 2 +2 +2.3 9
10 Norwich 6 3 0 3 +1 -0.3 9
11 Sheffield United 6 2 3 1 +0 -1.7 9
12 Wolves 5 2 2 1 +3 +4.5 8
13 Watford 6 2 2 2 -1 -2.6 8
14 Wrexham 6 1 4 1 +2 +1.4 7
15 Birmingham 6 1 4 1 +0 +1.3 7
16 Stoke 6 2 1 3 -1 -3.8 7
17 Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 -1 -0.2 6
18 Blackburn 6 1 2 3 -2 -2.1 5
19 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 -2 +0.4 5
20 Cardiff 6 0 4 2 -3 +3.0 4
21 Bolton 6 1 1 4 -6 -1.7 4
22 Derby 6 1 1 4 -6 -1.7 4
23 Burnley 6 0 3 3 -6 -0.2 3
24 Preston 6 1 0 5 -6 +2.0 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charlton QPR
36′
🔁 Dennis Cirkin
↦ Tariq Lamptey
Joe Rankin-Costello 🔁
↦ Miles Leaburn
45′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Julien Stéphan
48′
🔁 Jake Clarke-Salter
↦ Jimmy Dunne
Micah Mbick 🔁
↦ sonny carey
65′
74′
🟨 Kealey Adamson
76′
🟨 Jake Clarke-Salter
79′
🔁 Amadou Salif Mbengue
↦ Kealey Adamson
79′
🔁 Justin Obikwu
↦ Paul Smyth
79′
🔁 Leon Scarlett
↦ Alfie Lloyd
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Charlton

4-2-3-1
13 A. Okonkwo G
18 I. Mesík D
5 L. Jones D
44 Tyler Bindon D
17 A. Bell D
6 C. Coventry M
34 O. Skipp M
9 K. Ahearne-Grant M
14 S. Carey M
7 T. Campbell M
11 M. Leaburn F
Bench (9)
19 M. Alli
21 T. Brooks
8 H. Knibbs
33 Micah Mbick
32 A. Mwamba
16 T. Ouma
26 J. Rankin-Costello
38 J. Laqueretabua
35 Junior Nkeng

Coach: N. Jones

QPR

4-4-2
1 P. Charles G
2 K. Adamson D
3 J. Dunne D
5 R. Edwards D
48 T. Lamptey D
20 H. Vale M
18 G. Kamara M
24 N. Madsen M
11 P. Smyth M
15 A. Lloyd F
16 R. Burrell F
Bench (9)
23 I. Alemayehu
19 D. Cirkin
6 J. Clarke-Salter
27 A. Mbengue
4 L. Morrison
25 Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu
40 J. Varane
13 C. Ward
33 Leon Scarlett

Coach: Julien Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,09
U ✓
3,35
B
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,30
U1,5 ✓
3,30
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,82
O3,5
3,40
U3,5 ✓
1,30
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,73
BLS nei ✓
2,02

Referee

Tom Nield · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.