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Super League

Referee: S Jovanovic

PAOK

T S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

2,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 55%

77%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

69%

33%

Both score Ø 48%

46%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,2

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

65% Possession 35%

19 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 2. · Aris Thessalonikis 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	12	1	1	+24	37
2	PAOK	13	10	2	1	+19	32
3	AEK	13	10	1	2	+7	31
4	Levadeiakos	14	6	5	3	+14	23
5	Volos NFC	14	7	1	6	-2	22
6	Panathinaikos	13	5	5	3	+5	20
7	Kifisia	14	4	4	6	-2	16
8	Aris Thessalonikis	12	4	4	4	-2	16
9	Aris	13	4	4	5	-4	16
10	Panetolikos	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Asteras Tripolis	14	2	7	5	-3	13
12	OFI Crete	13	4	0	9	-11	12
13	Atromitos	13	2	3	8	-6	9
14	Larisa	14	1	5	8	-12	8
15	Panserraikos	13	1	3	9	-24	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	8	0	0	+18	24
2	PAOK	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	AEK	7	6	0	1	+5	18
4	Levadeiakos	8	4	2	2	+12	14
5	Panathinaikos	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Volos NFC	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	Aris Thessalonikis	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Aris	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	5	0	+3	8
10	Kifisia	7	2	1	4	-1	7
11	Panetolikos	6	2	0	4	+0	6
12	OFI Crete	7	2	0	5	-1	6
13	Panserraikos	6	1	1	4	-10	4
14	Larisa	7	0	3	4	-8	3
15	Atromitos	7	0	2	5	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	6	4	1	1	+8	13
2	Olympiakos	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	AEK	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Volos NFC	8	4	0	4	-2	12
5	Panathinaikos	7	2	3	2	+2	9
6	Levadeiakos	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Kifisia	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Panetolikos	7	2	3	2	-3	9
9	Atromitos	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Aris Thessalonikis	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Aris	7	2	1	4	-5	7
12	OFI Crete	6	2	0	4	-10	6
13	Larisa	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Asteras Tripolis	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Panserraikos	7	0	2	5	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.