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Super League
Referee: H Osmers
PAOK
S U S T T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Super League · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 54%
67%
40%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
80%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 2. · Aris Thessalonikis 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 7 4 1 2 +6 13
2 PAOK 6 4 1 1 +6 13
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 +8 11
4 Aris 6 3 2 1 +2 11
5 OFI Crete 7 3 2 2 +0 11
6 Atromitos 7 2 3 2 +0 9
7 Panathinaikos 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Aris Thessalonikis 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Panetolikos 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Asteras Tripolis 7 1 4 2 -1 7
11 Athens Kallithea 6 0 5 1 -1 5
12 Lamia 5 1 2 2 -4 5
13 Levadeiakos 6 0 4 2 -4 4
14 Volos NFC 6 1 1 4 -8 4
15 Panserraikos 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
17′
🟨 Fran Vélez
Ioannis Michailidis 🟨
20′
38′
🟨 Manu García
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Rose
↦ Fran Vélez
Abdul Rahman Baba 🟨
55′
63′
Manu García 0–1
Martín Montoya
F. Chalov 🔁
↦ T. Tissoudali
68′
M. Camara 🔁
↦ S. Schwab
69′
74′
🔁 K. Saverio
↦ P. Sisto
74′
🔁 M. Suleymanov
↦ C. Diandy
K. Despodov 🔁
↦ Taison
76′
M. Ozdoev 🔁
↦ T. Bakayoko
77′
81′
🔁 Á. Zamora
↦ Loren Morón
81′
🔁 V. Darida
↦ Manu García
82′
🟨 Julián Cuesta
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
16 T. Kędziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. Baba D
22 S. Schwab M
8 T. Bakayoko M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (9)
9 F. Chalov
2 M. Camara
77 K. Despodov
27 M. Ozdoev
6 D. Lovren
10 T. Murg
47 S. Shoretire
54 K. Balomenos
23 Joan Sastre

Coach: R. Lucescu

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
33 Martín Montoya D
4 Fran Vélez D
14 J. Brabec D
17 M. Frýdek D
5 J. Cifuentes M
8 Monchu M
7 P. Sisto M
6 Manu García M
99 C. Diandy M
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
92 L. Rose
11 K. Saverio
93 M. Suleymanov
9 Á. Zamora
16 V. Darida
20 F. Sidklev
10 G. Fetfatzidis
30 J. Jules
18 Valentino Fattore

Coach: A. Mantzios

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.