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Puchar Polski
Motor Lublin
T T S U T
3–0
Full-time
Legia
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Podhale Nowy Targ 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Nieciecza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2 1 0 1 +2 3
6 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Górnik Łęczna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Polonia Środa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Pogoń Siedlce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Odra Opole 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Lechia Gdansk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Tychy 71 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 -1 3
20 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Zaglebie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Kluczevia Stargard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Wisla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Kluczbork 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Warta Poznan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 Wisła Płock II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -3 0
38 Chemik Bydgoszcz 1 0 0 1 -3 0
39 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motor Lublin Legia
1–0 K. Czubak
3′
2–0 Fabio Ronaldo
B. Bereszynski
40′
Half-time 2–0
56′
🔁 J. Kuchta
↦ R. Adamski
M. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ M. Aiko
57′
I. Rodrigues 🟨
63′
67′
🔁 A. Reca
↦ K. Chodyna
67′
🔁 M. Sevcik
↦ D. Szymanski
T. Santos 🔁
↦ Fabio Ronaldo
71′
83′
🔁 M. Szczepaniak
↦ W. Urbanski
83′
🔁 M. Rajovic
↦ R. Deziel
Kikis 🔁
↦ B. Bereszynski
86′
Y. Bourhane 🔁
↦ K. Czubak
86′
M. Bartos 🔁
↦ I. Rodrigues
86′
3–0 M. Ndiaye
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Motor Lublin

33 G. Tratnik
17 K. Lukoszek
18 B. Bereszynski
4 T. Plavotic
24 F. Luberecki
6 M. Legowski
2 P. Meyer
7 I. Rodrigues
11 Fabio Ronaldo
10 K. Czubak
70 M. Aiko
Bench (9)
71 M. Popa
8 Kikis
19 K. Szymanek
23 F. Haxha
27 Y. Bourhane
29 T. Santos
30 M. Ndiaye
39 M. Bartos
90 D. Gregorski

Coach: Mariusz Misiura

Legia

89 O. Hindrich
11 K. Chodyna
91 K. Piatkowski
8 R. Augustyniak
19 R. Vinagre
67 B. Kapustka
4 D. Szymanski
5 R. Deziel
53 W. Urbanski
79 L. Zjawinski
9 R. Adamski
Bench (9)
1 I. Brkic
6 H. Arreiol
7 J. Kuchta
13 A. Reca
17 M. Szczepaniak
23 M. Sevcik
24 Z. Arsenic
29 M. Rajovic
99 S. Kovacik

Coach: Marek Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.