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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Widzew Lodz
T S S T T
1–0
Full-time
Legia
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
35%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 59%
65%
52%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,47 xG 0,91
46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Widzew Lodz 11. · Legia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 24 13 6 5 +20 +11.0 45
2 Slask Wroclaw 24 13 6 5 +13 +2.8 45
3 Lech Poznan 24 11 8 5 +6 -3.0 41
4 Rakow 23 11 7 5 +18 +15.4 40
5 Pogon Szczecin 24 12 4 8 +16 +12.2 40
6 Legia 23 10 8 5 +7 +9.3 38
7 Gornik Zabrze 24 10 6 8 +4 -3.3 36
8 Stal Mielec 24 10 5 9 +0 -8.5 35
9 Zaglebie 24 9 6 9 -8 +1.4 33
10 Radomiak Radom 24 8 7 9 -7 +0.2 31
11 Widzew Lodz 23 8 4 11 -4 -3.3 28
12 Cracovia 24 5 12 7 -1 -0.4 27
13 Warta Poznan 23 6 9 8 -4 -8.0 27
14 Piast Gliwice 23 4 13 6 -4 +8.4 25
15 Korona Kielce 23 4 11 8 -4 -1.8 23
16 Puszcza 23 5 8 10 -12 -15.2 23
17 Ruch Chorzow 24 2 12 10 -12 -6.1 18
18 LKS Lodz 23 3 4 16 -28 -10.9 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

4-3-3
1 R. Gikiewicz G
62 L. Kastrati D
4 M. Żyro D
5 S. Szota D
2 Luís Silva D
10 Fran Álvarez M
22 D. Kun M
19 B. Pawłowski M
92 Fábio Nunes F
99 I. Rondić F
47 A. Klimek F
Bench (9)
23 P. Zieliński
25 M. Hanousek
14 A. Cigaņiks
8 D. Tkacz
7 M. Miloš
78 K. Cybulski
35 I. Krajčírik
44 N. Diliberto
21 P. Kwiatkowski

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Legia

3-4-2-1
30 D. Hładun G
12 R. Pankov D
8 R. Augustyniak D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
13 P. Wszołek M
67 B. Kapustka M
22 J. Elitim M
25 R. Morishita M
27 Josué F
28 Marc Gual F
9 B. Kramer F
Bench (9)
53 W. Urbański
39 M. Rosołek
17 Gil Dias
11 Q. Zyba
3 S. Kapuadi
21 J. Çelhaka
4 M. Burch
1 K. Tobiasz
26 F. Rejczyk

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.