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Superligaen

Referee: S Rasmussen

Nordsjaelland

U S T T U

2–0

Full-time

Aarhus

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,3

3,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 37%

40%

33%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

67%

53%

Both score Ø 70%

70%

Average goals

3,5

3,1

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

20 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 7. · Aarhus 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	30	16	9	5	+20	+11.6	57
2	Midtjylland	30	17	5	8	+20	+6.9	56
3	Randers FC	30	13	9	8	+12	+7.1	48
4	Brondby	30	12	12	6	+12	+8.0	48
5	Silkeborg	30	12	10	8	+15	+6.8	46
6	Viborg	30	11	11	8	+7	-3.8	44
7	Nordsjaelland	30	12	7	11	-2	+7.2	43
8	Aarhus	30	10	10	10	+10	+9.7	40
9	Sonderjyske	30	8	7	15	-22	-15.1	31
10	Vejle	30	6	7	17	-27	-11.8	25
11	Lyngby	30	4	12	14	-15	-5.5	24
12	Aalborg	30	5	9	16	-30	-21.2	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	13	0	2	+18	+7.5	39
2	Nordsjaelland	15	9	5	1	+15	+7.4	32
3	FC Copenhagen	15	9	5	1	+13	+10.2	32
4	Viborg	15	9	3	3	+7	-3.5	30
5	Randers FC	15	8	4	3	+11	+7.3	28
6	Aarhus	15	7	6	2	+14	+10.9	27
7	Brondby	15	7	6	2	+7	+6.1	27
8	Silkeborg	15	7	5	3	+8	+3.3	26
9	Sonderjyske	15	4	5	6	-12	-11.3	17
10	Lyngby	15	3	6	6	-6	+0.6	15
11	Vejle	15	3	5	7	-12	-2.2	14
12	Aalborg	15	3	4	8	-15	-10.4	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	15	7	4	4	+7	+1.4	25
2	Brondby	15	5	6	4	+5	+1.9	21
3	Silkeborg	15	5	5	5	+7	+3.4	20
4	Randers FC	15	5	5	5	+1	-0.2	20
5	Midtjylland	15	4	5	6	+2	-0.6	17
6	Viborg	15	2	8	5	+0	-0.3	14
7	Sonderjyske	15	4	2	9	-10	-3.8	14
8	Aarhus	15	3	4	8	-4	-1.2	13
9	Aalborg	15	2	5	8	-15	-10.7	11
10	Vejle	15	3	2	10	-15	-9.5	11
11	Nordsjaelland	15	3	2	10	-17	-0.2	11
12	Lyngby	15	1	6	8	-9	-6.1	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.