Ekstraklasa
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rakow
Stal Mielec
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Zaglebie
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | +0.2 | 10 |
| 2 |
Radomiak Radom
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | +0.6 | 9 |
| 3 |
Legia
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | – | 7 |
| 4 |
Lech Poznan
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | -3.1 | 7 |
| 5 |
Cracovia
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | – | 7 |
| 6 |
Widzew Lodz
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | -0.5 | 7 |
| 7 |
Jagiellonia
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +0.3 | 6 |
| 8 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +2.5 | 6 |
| 9 |
Stal Mielec
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | -0.7 | 5 |
| 10 |
Warta Poznan
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0 | +2.1 | 5 |
| 11 |
Piast Gliwice
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0 | +4.2 | 5 |
| 12 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -3.5 | 5 |
| 13 |
Rakow
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | +2.0 | 4 |
| 14 |
Ruch Chorzow
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -1.4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Puszcza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | -2.7 | 4 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | – | 3 |
| 17 |
Korona Kielce
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +0.7 | 1 |
| 18 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -0.7 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Tsiftsis
G
B. Racovițan
D
Z. Arsenić
D
F. Tudor
M
G. Papanikolaou
M
B. Lederman
M
D. Sorescu
M
D. Drachal
F
B. Nowak
F
Coach: D. Szwarga
M. Kochalski
G
I. Shkurin
F
Coach: K. Kiereś
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aris
Rakow
Piast Gliwice
Rakow
Rakow
Aris
Rakow
Warta Poznan
Qarabag
Rakow
P Malec · 48 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.