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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Rakow
U U S T S
2–0
Full-time
Stal Mielec
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Stal Mielec
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,62 xG 0,50
53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rakow 13. · Stal Mielec 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zaglebie 5 3 1 1 +2 +0.2 10
2 Radomiak Radom 5 3 0 2 +2 +0.6 9
3 Legia 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Lech Poznan 3 2 1 0 +3 -3.1 7
5 Cracovia 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Widzew Lodz 5 2 1 2 +0 -0.5 7
7 Jagiellonia 3 2 0 1 +1 +0.3 6
8 Pogon Szczecin 3 2 0 1 +0 +2.5 6
9 Stal Mielec 4 1 2 1 +1 -0.7 5
10 Warta Poznan 5 1 2 2 +0 +2.1 5
11 Piast Gliwice 4 1 2 1 +0 +4.2 5
12 Gornik Zabrze 5 1 2 2 -3 -3.5 5
13 Rakow 3 1 1 1 +2 +2.0 4
14 Ruch Chorzow 4 1 1 2 -2 -1.4 4
15 Puszcza 5 1 1 3 -4 -2.7 4
16 LKS Lodz 4 1 0 3 -5 3
17 Korona Kielce 3 0 1 2 -2 +0.7 1
18 Slask Wroclaw 3 0 1 2 -3 -0.7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Stal Mielec
Ben Lederman 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Piotr Wlazło
A. Kovačević 🔁
↦ Z. Arsenić
46′
1–0 G. Papanikolaou
D. Drachal
47′
Fran Tudor 🟨
49′
55′
🟨 Koki Hinokio
60′
🔁 M. Stępień
↦ Ł. Gerstenstein
Łukasz Zwoliński 🟨
61′
61′
🔁 K. Wołkowicz
↦ K. Getinger
2–0 B. Nowak
B. Lederman
63′
66′
🔁 M. Guillaumier
↦ P. Wlazło
66′
🔁 K. Meriluoto
↦ I. Shkurin
S. Kittel 🔁
↦ B. Nowak
68′
Jean Carlos 🔁
↦ F. Tudor
68′
73′
🔁 Leândro
↦ K. Pajnowski
M. Cebula 🔁
↦ D. Drachal
80′
F. Piasecki 🔁
↦ Ł. Zwoliński
80′
88′
🟨 Marco Ehmann
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-3
12 A. Tsiftsis G
25 B. Racovițan D
24 Z. Arsenić D
3 M. Rundić D
7 F. Tudor M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
8 B. Lederman M
22 D. Sorescu M
21 D. Drachal F
9 Ł. Zwoliński F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (9)
15 A. Kovačević
93 S. Kittel
20 Jean Carlos
77 M. Cebula
99 F. Piasecki
5 G. Berggren
1 V. Kovačević
30 V. Kochergin
14 S. Plavšić

Coach: D. Szwarga

Stal Mielec

3-4-3
1 M. Kochalski G
5 M. Ehmann D
21 M. Matras D
4 K. Pajnowski D
7 Ł. Gerstenstein M
19 M. Trąbka M
18 P. Wlazło M
23 K. Getinger M
10 M. Domański F
17 I. Shkurin F
8 K. Hinokio F
Bench (9)
37 M. Stępień
11 K. Wołkowicz
16 M. Guillaumier
42 K. Meriluoto
6 Leândro
25 Ł. Wolsztyński
13 K. Jałocha
22 Rafa Santos
3 B. Esselink

Coach: K. Kiereś

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Malec · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.