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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Varberg

T T S T T

0–3

Full-time

Varnamo

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 24%

11%

37%

Points per game

0,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

53%

37%

Both score Ø 42%

47%

37%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,97 xG 0,86

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varberg 16. · Varnamo 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	19	13	3	3	+26	+5.8	42
2	Hacken	19	13	2	4	+27	-0.1	41
3	Malmo FF	19	13	2	4	+25	+4.4	41
4	Djurgarden	19	10	3	6	+3	-1.6	33
5	Norrkoping	19	9	4	6	+8	+6.9	31
6	Mjallby	19	8	4	7	+1	-5.4	28
7	Hammarby	19	8	4	7	-2	+1.4	28
8	Brommapojkarna	20	8	2	10	-6	-0.3	26
9	Kalmar	19	7	5	7	-6	-3.0	26
10	Halmstad	20	7	4	9	-15	-3.6	25
11	Varnamo	19	7	1	11	-5	+2.3	22
12	Sirius	19	5	5	9	-4	+2.2	20
13	Degerfors	20	6	2	12	-23	-2.6	20
14	Goteborg	20	4	7	9	-5	-2.7	19
15	AIK	19	4	7	8	-5	-1.2	19
16	Varberg	19	2	5	12	-19	-2.4	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	10	9	0	1	+22	+0.1	27
2	Malmo FF	10	8	1	1	+20	+1.8	25
3	Djurgarden	10	8	1	1	+9	-1.6	25
4	Hammarby	9	7	1	1	+8	+1.5	22
5	Elfsborg	9	6	2	1	+16	+1.4	20
6	Kalmar	9	5	2	2	+1	-1.3	17
7	Norrkoping	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.5	14
8	Degerfors	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.4	14
9	Brommapojkarna	10	4	1	5	-1	-0.9	13
10	Goteborg	10	3	3	4	+5	-0.9	12
11	Mjallby	10	3	3	4	+1	-5.7	12
12	Halmstad	10	3	3	4	-6	-2.2	12
13	Sirius	10	3	1	6	-1	+2.8	10
14	Varnamo	9	3	0	6	-3	+1.3	9
15	AIK	9	1	5	3	-3	-0.9	8
16	Varberg	9	0	3	6	-15	-0.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	10	7	1	2	+10	+4.3	22
2	Norrkoping	10	5	2	3	+5	+4.4	17
3	Malmo FF	9	5	1	3	+5	+2.5	16
4	Mjallby	9	5	1	3	+0	+0.3	16
5	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+5	-0.2	14
6	Varnamo	10	4	1	5	-2	+1.0	13
7	Brommapojkarna	10	4	1	5	-5	+0.7	13
8	Halmstad	10	4	1	5	-9	-1.4	13
9	AIK	10	3	2	5	-2	-0.3	11
10	Sirius	9	2	4	3	-3	-0.6	10
11	Kalmar	10	2	3	5	-7	-1.6	9
12	Varberg	10	2	2	6	-4	-1.6	8
13	Djurgarden	9	2	2	5	-6	+0.0	8
14	Goteborg	10	1	4	5	-10	-1.8	7
15	Hammarby	10	1	3	6	-10	-0.2	6
16	Degerfors	9	2	0	7	-20	-3.0	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.