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Serie A
Referee: A Colombo
Inter
T S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Monza
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Monza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,69 xG 0,78
48% Possession 52%
22 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Apr -23 Inter – Monza 0–1 7. Jan -23 Monza – Inter 2–2

Match report

Inter Monza
1–0 L. Martínez ⚽
D. Dumfries
8′
Lautaro Martínez 🟨
32′
41′
🟨 Luca Caldirola
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 Dany Mota
↦ M. Marić
61′
🔁 S. Birindelli
↦ A. Colpani
Carlos Augusto 🔁
↦ F. Dimarco
67′
J. Cuadrado 🔁
↦ D. Dumfries
67′
M. Arnautović 🔁
↦ M. Thuram
67′
70′
🔁 Pedro Pereira
↦ D. DAmbrosio
71′
🔁 José Machín
↦ R. Gagliardini
2–0 L. Martínez ⚽
M. Arnautović
76′
D. Frattesi 🔁
↦ L. Martínez
80′
Y. Bisseck 🔁
↦ M. Darmian
84′
86′
🔁 V. Carboni
↦ G. Kyriakopoulos
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
36 M. Darmian D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
9 M. Thuram F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (13)
30 Carlos Augusto
7 J. Cuadrado
8 M. Arnautović
16 D. Frattesi
31 Y. Bisseck
77 E. Audero
50 A. Stanković
11 J. Correa
21 K. Asllani
44 G. Stabile
12 R. Di Gennaro
5 S. Sensi
15 F. Acerbi

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Monza

3-5-2
16 M. Di Gregorio G
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
22 Pablo Marí D
5 L. Caldirola D
84 P. Ciurria M
28 A. Colpani M
6 R. Gagliardini M
32 M. Pessina M
77 G. Kyriakopoulos M
24 M. Marić F
10 G. Caprari F
Bench (13)
47 Dany Mota
19 S. Birindelli
13 Pedro Pereira
7 José Machín
21 V. Carboni
37 A. Petagna
80 S. Vignato
38 W. Bondo
44 A. Carboni
66 S. Gori
11 F. Carboni
46 G. Cittadini
23 A. Sorrentino

Coach: R. Palladino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
🔒
U
5,08
🔒
B
7,92
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,58
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,41
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Colombo · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.