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Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Hoffenheim
S T S U S
1–2
Full-time
Freiburg
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,52 xG 2,65
50% Possession 50%
24 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 8
11 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Mar -23 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 2–1 18. Sep -22 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 0–0 30. Apr -22 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 3–4 11. Dec -21 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 1–2 24. Apr -21 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 1–1

Match report

Hoffenheim Freiburg
15′
🟨 Philipp Lienhart
39′
⚽ A. Szalai 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
K. Vogt 🔁
↦ A. Szalai
46′
48′
⚽ R. Sallai 1–1
50′
ℹ️ Roland Sallai
VAR: Goal confirmed
2–1 O. Kabak ⚽
50′
J. Justvan 🔁
↦ F. Grillitsch
71′
74′
🔁 Y. Keitel
↦ M. Röhl
T. Bischof 🔁
↦ A. Stiller
84′
M. Beier 🔁
↦ I. Bebou
84′
84′
🔁 M. Gulde
↦ M. Gregoritsch
84′
🔁 R. Doan
↦ R. Sallai
90′
🔁 N. Weißhaupt
↦ V. Grifo
91′
🔁 K. Sildillia
↦ C. Günter
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-5-2
1 O. Baumann G
5 O. Kabak D
23 J. Brooks D
41 A. Szalai D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
6 G. Prömel M
11 F. Grillitsch M
13 A. Stiller M
21 M. Bülter M
9 I. Bebou F
27 A. Kramarić F
Bench (9)
22 K. Vogt
17 J. Justvan
39 T. Bischof
14 M. Beier
25 K. Akpoguma
29 R. Skov
20 F. Becker
37 L. Philipp
18 D. Samassékou

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Freiburg

4-2-2-2
1 N. Atubolu G
17 L. Kübler D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
30 C. Günter D
34 M. Röhl M
8 M. Eggestein M
22 R. Sallai M
32 V. Grifo M
38 M. Gregoritsch F
9 L. Höler F
Bench (9)
14 Y. Keitel
5 M. Gulde
42 R. Doan
7 N. Weißhaupt
25 K. Sildillia
26 K. Schlotterbeck
21 F. Müller
44 M. Breunig
4 K. Schmidt

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
🔒
U
3,63
🔒
B ✓
2,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
U2,5
2,24
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.