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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

Hamburg

T T S U S

3–0

Full-time

Hertha

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

6,0

1,0

Scored

3,5

0,0

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%

27 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 2

11 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

5 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 7. · Hertha 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wehen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Hansa Rostock	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Hannover	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	St Pauli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Magdeburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	-4	4
12	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Kaiserslautern	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Osnabruck	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Elversberg	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+5	4
2	Wehen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Karlsruhe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Wehen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	-4	3
8	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Osnabruck	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Magdeburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Elversberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.