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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Eibar
U S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Elche
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
4,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 21. · Elche 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Andorra 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
6 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Albacete 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Espanol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Amorebieta 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Levante 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Leganes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Elche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cartagena 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Sp Gijon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Villarreal B 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -4 0
22 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Elche
1–0 Ager Aketxe
Álvaro Tejero
5′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Pedro Bigas
64′
ℹ️ Lucas Boyé
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Quique González
66′
66′
L. Boyé 1–1
68′
🟨 Lucas Boyé
70′
🔁 N. Fernández Mercau
↦ José Salinas
71′
🔁 Josan
↦ Tete Morente
Ángel Troncho 🔁
↦ Ager Aketxe
74′
Anaitz Arbilla 🔁
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
74′
2–1 Mario Soriano
Y. Rahmani
77′
79′
🔁 Cristian Salvador
↦ Aleix Febas
80′
🔁 N. Castro
↦ Raúl Guti
Unai Vencedor 🔁
↦ Y. Rahmani
82′
Jon Bautista 🟨
83′
87′
🔁 Óscar Plano
↦ Fidel
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 L. Zidane G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
5 Juan Berrocal D
2 Cristian Gutiérrez D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Matheus Pereira M
10 Ager Aketxe M
30 Mario Soriano M
11 Y. Rahmani M
7 Quique González F
Bench (9)
18 Jon Bautista
31 Ángel Troncho
23 Anaitz Arbilla
14 Unai Vencedor
20 Juan Carlos Arana
12 J. Yriarte
21 Ríos Reina
13 Yoel Rodríguez
32 Aritz Muguruza

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Elche

3-4-3
13 Edgar Badia G
15 Álex Martín D
6 Bigas D
23 Clerc D
11 Tete Morente M
14 Aleix Febas M
8 Raúl Guti M
12 José Salinas M
19 Mourad F
9 L. Boyé F
16 Fidel F
Bench (10)
22 N. Fernández Mercau
17 Josan
20 Cristian Salvador
21 N. Castro
7 Óscar Plano
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
4 Diego González
2 Mario Gaspar
1 Miguel San Román
3 L. Blanco

Coach: S. Beccacece

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
3,04
B
3,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,42
U2,5
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.