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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Genoa
U S T S S
1–4
Full-time
Fiorentina
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,21 xG 0,99
32% Possession 68%
4 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Jan -22 Fiorentina – Genoa 6–0 18. Sep -21 Genoa – Fiorentina 1–2 3. Apr -21 Genoa – Fiorentina 1–1 7. Dec -20 Fiorentina – Genoa 1–1 25. Jan -20 Fiorentina – Genoa 0–0

Match report

Genoa Fiorentina
5′
⚽ C. Biraghi 0–1
M'Bala Nzola
11′
⚽ G. Bonaventura 0–2
Mateo Retegui 🟨
21′
22′
🟨 Cristiano Biraghi
34′
🟨 Giacomo Bonaventura
40′
⚽ N. González 0–3
C. Biraghi
Half-time 0–4
56′
⚽ R. Mandragora 0–4
G. Bonaventura
1–4 D. Biraschi ⚽
M. Frendrup
58′
C. Ekuban 🔁
↦ Aarón Martín
59′
J. Vásquez 🔁
↦ S. Hefti
59′
F. Jagiełło 🔁
↦ M. Badelj
59′
72′
🔁 R. Sottil
↦ N. González
Mattia Bani 🟨
80′
82′
🔁 Dodô
↦ M. Kayode
82′
🔁 A. Duncan
↦ R. Mandragora
82′
🔁 L. Beltrán
↦ MBala Nzola
87′
🟨 Nikola Milenković
88′
🔁 G. Infantino
↦ G. Bonaventura
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Genoa

3-5-2
1 Josep Martínez G
23 D. Biraschi D
13 M. Bani D
5 R. Drăgușin D
36 S. Hefti M
32 M. Frendrup M
47 M. Badelj M
2 M. Thorsby M
3 Aarón Martín M
11 A. Guðmundsson F
19 M. Retegui F
Bench (9)
18 C. Ekuban
22 J. Vásquez
24 F. Jagiełło
9 M. Coda
39 D. Sommariva
4 K. De Winter
37 G. Puşcaş
16 N. Leali
10 M. Aramu

Coach: A. Gilardino

Fiorentina

4-2-3-1
1 P. Terracciano G
33 M. Kayode D
4 N. Milenković D
16 L. Ranieri D
3 C. Biraghi D
6 Arthur M
38 R. Mandragora M
10 N. González M
5 G. Bonaventura M
77 J. Brekalo M
18 M'Bala Nzola F
Bench (14)
7 R. Sottil
2 Dodô
32 A. Duncan
9 L. Beltrán
19 G. Infantino
27 A. Sabiri
91 A. Kokorin
8 L. Jović
65 F. Parisi
28 L. Martínez
34 S. Amrabat
30 T. Martinelli
53 O. Christensen
37 P. Comuzzo

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,41
🔒
U
3,34
🔒
B ✓
2,21
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,06
🔒
U2,5
1,77
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.