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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Vitesse

T S S S S

1–3

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,7

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,96 xG 2,25

35% Possession 65%

12 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 2

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 8. · PSV Eindhoven 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.3	4
2	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
4	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
5	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
7	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
9	Heracles	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.7	3
10	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
13	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
14	Nijmegen	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.5	0
15	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.0	0
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
17	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
5	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
6	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
7	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
8	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
9	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
11	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
2	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
3	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
5	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
6	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
7	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
8	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.0	0
9	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
10	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
11	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.