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Ekstraklasa
Rakow
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Stal Mielec
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Stal Mielec
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
0,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 46%
58%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 3. · Stal Mielec 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pogon Szczecin 25 14 8 3 +24 50
2 Lech Poznan 25 14 7 4 +30 49
3 Rakow 24 14 6 4 +20 48
4 Lechia Gdansk 25 11 7 7 +8 40
5 Radomiak Radom 25 10 10 5 +7 40
6 Gornik Zabrze 25 10 6 9 +3 36
7 Wisla Plock 25 11 3 11 +0 36
8 Piast Gliwice 25 9 7 9 +3 34
9 Cracovia 25 8 8 9 -3 32
10 Stal Mielec 24 8 8 8 -3 32
11 Jagiellonia 25 7 9 9 -8 30
12 Legia 24 9 1 14 -7 28
13 Zaglebie 25 8 4 13 -15 28
14 Slask Wroclaw 25 6 9 10 -5 27
15 Warta Poznan 25 6 9 10 -7 27
16 Wisla 25 6 6 13 -13 24
17 Leczna 25 5 9 11 -18 24
18 Nieciecza 24 5 7 12 -16 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.