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Ligue 1

Referee: M Vernice

Lyon

T S S T T

1–4

Full-time

Montpellier

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,3

4,5

Scored

2,3

2,5

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,36 xG 2,92

64% Possession 36%

7 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 4

20 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 17. · Montpellier 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.7	4
2	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
3	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
5	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
12	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
13	Metz	2	0	1	1	-4	-5.4	1
14	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
15	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
16	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
17	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
18	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
2	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
5	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
6	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
7	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
8	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
9	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
2	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
3	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
4	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
5	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
6	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
7	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
8	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
9	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
10	Metz	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.