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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Musial

Ruch Chorzow

T T S T U

0–1

Full-time

Jagiellonia

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ruch Chorzow Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 46%

25%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

75%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,81 xG 1,16

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 19

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ruch Chorzow 14. · Jagiellonia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zaglebie	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.2	10
2	Radomiak Radom	5	3	0	2	+2	+0.6	9
3	Legia	3	2	1	0	+6	–	7
4	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+4	+3.2	7
5	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+3	-3.1	7
6	Cracovia	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
7	Widzew Lodz	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.5	7
8	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
9	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.5	6
10	Warta Poznan	5	1	2	2	+0	+2.1	5
11	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+0	+4.2	5
12	Stal Mielec	5	1	2	2	-1	-1.8	5
13	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	2	2	-3	-3.5	5
14	Ruch Chorzow	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.4	4
15	Puszcza	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.7	4
16	LKS Lodz	4	1	0	3	-5	–	3
17	Korona Kielce	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.7	1
18	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	3	2	1	0	+5	+3.2	7
2	Zaglebie	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.2	7
3	Legia	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
4	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
5	Widzew Lodz	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.4	6
6	Stal Mielec	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.6	5
7	Warta Poznan	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.9	4
8	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
9	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
10	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
11	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
12	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
13	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.6	3
14	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
15	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.4	3
16	Gornik Zabrze	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.5	2
17	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
18	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.7	6
2	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.6	4
3	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
4	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.0	3
6	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
7	Piast Gliwice	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
8	Legia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Warta Poznan	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
10	Widzew Lodz	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.8	1
11	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
12	Ruch Chorzow	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1
13	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
16	Stal Mielec	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.2	0
17	Puszcza	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.8	0
18	LKS Lodz	3	0	0	3	-6	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.