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Eredivisie
Referee: J van der Laan
For Sittard
S T T U U
2–1
Full-time
Almere City
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Almere City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,37 xG 0,92
48% Possession 52%
21 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 11. · Almere City 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.2 6
2 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +3 +4.3 4
3 Excelsior 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.2 4
4 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.6 3
5 Twente 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.2 3
6 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +2 -1.0 3
7 Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
8 Vitesse 2 1 0 1 -1 +0.4 3
9 Heracles 2 1 0 1 -2 -2.7 3
10 Feyenoord 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
11 For Sittard 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
12 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
13 Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.7 0
14 Nijmegen 2 0 0 2 -2 -0.5 0
15 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 +1.0 0
16 Utrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.9 0
17 Almere City 1 0 0 1 -3 -1.2 0
18 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -4 -2.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Almere City
0–1 H. Akujobi
own goal
8′
12′
🟨 Sherel Floranus
1–1 L. Rosier
T. Noslin
24′
26′
🟨 Peer Koopmeiners
33′
T. Robinet 1–2
H. Akujobi
Half-time 1–2
Rosier Loreintz 🟨
50′
O. Özyakup 🔁
↦ A. Halilović
71′
82′
🔁 S. Resink
↦ A. Limbombe
82′
🔁 Manel Royo
↦ P. Koopmeiners
K. Sierhuis 🔁
↦ P. Gladon
83′
M. Dijks 🔁
↦ R. Vita
83′
89′
🔁 C. Mamengi
↦ J. Jacobs
M. Robberechts 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
91′
A. Ferati 🔁
↦ L. Rosier
91′
Milan Robberechts 🟨
92′
Kaj Sierhuis 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pandur G
12 Ivo Pinto D
14 Rodrigo Guth D
33 D. Siovas D
61 R. Vita D
6 Deroy Duarte M
32 L. Rosier M
77 T. Noslin M
10 A. Halilović M
7 Iñigo Córdoba M
11 P. Gladon F
Bench (12)
15 O. Özyakup
9 K. Sierhuis
35 M. Dijks
39 M. Robberechts
19 A. Ferati
22 T. Hendriks
1 L. Koopmans
24 N. Markelo
3 S. Fofana
85 Úmaro Embaló
55 S. Radić
20 M. Belkheir

Coach: D. Buijs

Almere City

4-2-3-1
1 N. Bakker G
20 H. Akujobi D
3 J. Jacobs D
22 T. Barbet D
2 S. Floranus D
6 Álvaro Peña M
15 P. Koopmeiners M
27 R. van La Parra M
10 L. Duijvestijn M
7 A. Limbombe M
11 T. Robinet F
Bench (11)
28 S. Resink
23 Manel Royo
25 C. Mamengi
5 T. Poll
26 S. Keller
14 Pascu
36 M. Esajas
39 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
32 J. Puriël
29 B. van Hoeven
52 J. van der Wilt

Coach: A. Pastoor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,81
B
3,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.