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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Leverkusen
U U U T S
3–2
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,43 xG 1,58
45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Apr -23 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 2–0 29. Oct -22 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 2–0 17. Apr -22 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 0–1 28. Nov -21 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 1–3 30. Jan -21 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 1–0

Match report

Leverkusen RB Leipzig
1–0 J. Frimpong ⚽
V. Boniface
24′
2–0 J. Tah ⚽
J. Hofmann
35′
39′
⚽ Dani Olmo 2–1
D. Raum
Half-time 2–1
62′
🟨 Nicolas Seiwald
62′
🔁 K. Kampl
↦ X. Simons
62′
🔁 C. Lukeba
↦ N. Seiwald
62′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ T. Werner
3–1 F. Wirtz ⚽
J. Frimpong
64′
Victor Okoh Boniface 🟨
69′
71′
⚽ L. Openda 3–2
M. Simakan
R. Andrich 🔁
↦ F. Wirtz
75′
75′
🔁 E. Forsberg
↦ L. Openda
Arthur 🔁
↦ J. Frimpong
78′
81′
🟨 Castello Lukeba
84′
🔁 Fábio Carvalho
↦ X. Schlager
A. Hložek 🔁
↦ J. Hofmann
89′
N. Amiri 🔁
↦ V. Boniface
89′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
6 O. Kossounou D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
30 J. Frimpong M
25 E. Palacios M
34 G. Xhaka M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
7 J. Hofmann F
10 F. Wirtz F
22 V. Boniface F
Bench (9)
8 R. Andrich
13 Arthur
23 A. Hložek
11 N. Amiri
17 M. Kovář
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
32 G. Puerta
18 N. Mbamba
48 R. Münz

Coach: Xabi Alonso

RB Leipzig

4-2-2-2
21 J. Blaswich G
39 B. Henrichs D
2 M. Simakan D
4 W. Orbán D
22 D. Raum D
13 N. Seiwald M
24 X. Schlager M
20 X. Simons M
11 T. Werner M
17 L. Openda F
7 Dani Olmo F
Bench (9)
44 K. Kampl
23 C. Lukeba
9 Y. Poulsen
10 E. Forsberg
18 Fábio Carvalho
14 C. Baumgartner
38 Hugo Novoa
25 L. Zingerle
16 L. Klostermann

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
🔒
U
3,62
🔒
B
2,78
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,68
🔒
U2,5
2,20
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.