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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Jakubik

Stal Mielec

T S U U T

3–1

Full-time

Slask Wroclaw

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Slask Wroclaw

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

1,3

3,5

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stal Mielec 15. · Slask Wroclaw 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+3	-3.1	7
2	Cracovia	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
3	Zaglebie	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.3	7
4	Legia	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
5	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.5	6
6	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
7	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+0	+4.2	5
8	Rakow	3	1	1	1	+2	+2.0	4
9	Warta Poznan	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
10	Widzew Lodz	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.8	3
11	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.7	3
12	Ruch Chorzow	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.3	3
13	Puszcza	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.8	3
14	LKS Lodz	3	1	0	2	-4	–	3
15	Stal Mielec	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.7	2
16	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
17	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
18	Gornik Zabrze	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
2	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	Rakow	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.0	4
4	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
5	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
6	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
7	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
8	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
9	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
10	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.4	3
11	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
12	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
13	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.6	3
14	Stal Mielec	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
15	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
16	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
17	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
18	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.6	4
2	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
3	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
4	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.0	3
5	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
6	Piast Gliwice	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
7	Warta Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
9	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
10	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
11	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
12	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.2	0
13	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
14	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
15	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0
16	Ruch Chorzow	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.3	0
17	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.