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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Stefanski
Stal Mielec
T S U U T
0–0
Full-time
Rakow
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 58%
42%
74%
Points per game
1,5
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
37%
53%
Both score Ø 35%
32%
37%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
2 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 9
0 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stal Mielec 8. · Rakow 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 19 14 3 2 +24 45
2 Legia 19 11 5 3 +7 38
3 Lech Poznan 19 9 6 4 +6 33
4 Widzew Lodz 19 9 4 6 +5 31
5 Pogon Szczecin 19 8 6 5 +2 30
6 Cracovia 19 8 4 7 +7 28
7 Wisla Plock 18 8 4 6 +4 28
8 Stal Mielec 19 8 4 7 +2 28
9 Radomiak Radom 19 8 3 8 -1 27
10 Warta Poznan 18 7 5 6 +2 26
11 Slask Wroclaw 19 6 6 7 -6 24
12 Gornik Zabrze 19 5 6 8 -4 21
13 Lechia Gdansk 19 6 3 10 -11 21
14 Jagiellonia 19 4 8 7 -1 20
15 Zaglebie 19 5 5 9 -12 20
16 Piast Gliwice 19 4 5 10 -5 17
17 Korona Kielce 19 4 4 11 -9 16
18 Legnica 19 3 5 11 -10 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stal Mielec Rakow
Koki Hinokio ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
13′
35′
🟨 Bartosz Nowak
42′
🟨 Jean Carlos
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 V. Kochergin
↦ B. Nowak
Piotr Wlazło 🟨
52′
F. Gerbowski 🔁
↦ M. Mak
65′
69′
ℹ️ Ivi López
VAR: Goal cancelled
M. Domański 🔁
↦ A. Ratajczyk
75′
76′
🔁 M. Cebula
↦ G. Berggren
A. Kasperkiewicz 🔁
↦ K. Hinokio
79′
B. Ciepiela 🔁
↦ R. Sappinen
80′
83′
🔁 S. Musiolik
↦ V. Gutkovskis
86′
🔁 W. Długosz
↦ Jean Carlos
Bartłomiej Ciepiela 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Stal Mielec

3-4-2-1
41 B. Mrozek G
74 K. Kruk D
18 P. Wlazło D
4 M. Flis D
17 F. Hiszpański M
5 Álex Vallejo M
8 K. Hinokio M
23 K. Getinger M
77 A. Ratajczyk F
10 M. Mak F
9 R. Sappinen F
Bench (8)
32 F. Gerbowski
7 M. Domański
26 A. Kasperkiewicz
92 B. Ciepiela
30 K. Guca
6 Leândro
11 M. Lebedyński
1 M. Kochalski

Coach: A. Majewski

Rakow

3-4-2-1
1 V. Kovačević G
4 S. Svarnas D
24 Z. Arsenić D
3 M. Rundić D
20 Jean Carlos M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
5 G. Berggren M
23 P. Kun M
11 Ivi López F
27 B. Nowak F
21 V. Gutkovskis F
Bench (9)
30 V. Kochergin
77 M. Cebula
9 S. Musiolik
71 W. Długosz
12 K. Trelowski
25 B. Racovițan
18 A. Gryszkiewicz
16 O. Sukiennicki
8 B. Lederman

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Stefanski · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.