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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Arys
Rakow
S S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Warta Poznan
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Warta Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

73% Possession 27%
16 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rakow 5. · Warta Poznan 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 2 2 0 0 +3 -3.1 6
2 Zaglebie 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.3 6
3 Pogon Szczecin 2 2 0 0 +2 +2.5 6
4 Jagiellonia 3 2 0 1 +1 +0.3 6
5 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.0 3
6 Legia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.3 3
8 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.8 3
9 Radomiak Radom 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.7 3
10 Widzew Lodz 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.8 3
11 LKS Lodz 3 1 0 2 -4 3
12 Stal Mielec 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.6 2
13 Cracovia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.7 1
15 Slask Wroclaw 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.7 1
16 Piast Gliwice 2 0 1 1 -1 +4.2 1
17 Puszcza 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.9 0
18 Gornik Zabrze 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Warta Poznan
5′
Miguel Luís 0–1
43′
🟨 Kajetan Szmyt
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Żurawski
↦ K. Szmyt
Deian Sorescu ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
48′
1–1 Ł. Zwoliński
50′
57′
M. Żurawski 1–2
D. Vizinger
F. Piasecki 🔁
↦ Ł. Zwoliński
58′
M. Cebula 🔁
↦ S. Kittel
58′
Jean Carlos 🔁
↦ S. Plavšić
58′
Giannis Papanikolaou 🟨
63′
66′
🔁 A. Zreľák
↦ D. Vizinger
73′
🔁 N. Mäenpää
↦ Miguel Luís
73′
🔁 D. Stavrópoulos
↦ F. Borowski
G. Berggren 🔁
↦ B. Lederman
75′
Z. Arsenić 🔁
↦ B. Nowak
75′
2–2 Jean Carlos
D. Sorescu
83′
86′
🔁 W. Kamiński
↦ S. Savić
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-2-1
89 K. Bieszczad G
25 B. Racovițan D
4 S. Svarnas D
66 G. Papanikolaou D
22 D. Sorescu M
8 B. Lederman M
30 V. Kochergin M
14 S. Plavšić M
27 B. Nowak F
93 S. Kittel F
9 Ł. Zwoliński F
Bench (9)
99 F. Piasecki
77 M. Cebula
20 Jean Carlos
5 G. Berggren
24 Z. Arsenić
7 F. Tudor
1 V. Kovačević
21 D. Drachal
15 A. Kovačević

Coach: D. Szwarga

Warta Poznan

4-3-3
1 A. Lis G
2 J. Bartkowski D
44 D. Szymonowicz D
34 W. Pleśnierowicz D
3 J. Kiełb D
16 Miguel Luís M
21 M. Kupczak M
28 F. Borowski M
7 K. Szmyt F
29 D. Vizinger F
77 S. Savić F
Bench (9)
6 M. Żurawski
99 A. Zreľák
8 N. Mäenpää
4 D. Stavrópoulos
97 W. Kamiński
35 F. Jakubowski
20 J. Wajman
33 J. Grobelny
25 J. Paszkowski

Coach: D. Szulczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Arys · 61 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.