OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sogndal
Kongsvinger
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kongsvinger
|
18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 37 |
| 2 |
Fredrikstad
|
18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | +12 | 35 |
| 3 |
KFUM Oslo
|
18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 34 |
| 4 |
Start
|
18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |
Sogndal
|
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 30 |
| 6 |
Kristiansund
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 26 |
| 7 |
Jerv
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 |
Moss
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 |
Ranheim
|
18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 23 |
| 10 |
Raufoss
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -1 | 22 |
| 11 |
Bryne
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 |
Mjondalen
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 |
Sandnes ULF
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | +5 | 20 |
| 14 |
Asane
|
18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 14 |
| 15 |
hodd
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -9 | 14 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -20 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Sjølstad
K. Nessø
S. Ørjasæter
Coach: T. Flo
F. Holmé
M. Vinjor
J. Grundt
Coach: V. Hansen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Start
Sogndal
Sandnes ULF
Sogndal
Sogndal
Jerv
Skeid
Sogndal
Sogndal
Sarpsborg 08
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.