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Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

U T U S S

0–1

Full-time

Rakow

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 37%

22%

52%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 54%

59%

48%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stal Mielec 15. · Rakow 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	28	18	6	4	+23	60
2	Pogon Szczecin	28	15	6	7	+15	51
3	Rakow	27	14	8	5	+17	50
4	Piast Gliwice	28	11	9	8	+9	42
5	Lechia Gdansk	28	12	5	11	+4	41
6	Zaglebie	28	11	7	10	+2	40
7	Warta Poznan	28	12	4	12	+1	40
8	Slask Wroclaw	28	10	9	9	+3	39
9	Cracovia	28	8	12	8	-3	36
10	Jagiellonia	28	9	7	12	-8	34
11	Lech Poznan	28	8	9	11	+0	33
12	Gornik Zabrze	28	9	6	13	-4	33
13	Wisla	28	7	9	12	-3	30
14	Wisla Plock	28	7	8	13	-11	29
15	Stal Mielec	27	6	9	12	-15	27
16	Podbeskidzie	28	6	6	16	-30	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	14	8	5	1	+11	29
2	Legia	14	8	3	3	+9	27
3	Rakow	14	8	3	3	+9	27
4	Slask Wroclaw	14	7	6	1	+8	27
5	Zaglebie	14	7	4	3	+5	25
6	Cracovia	14	6	5	3	+1	23
7	Piast Gliwice	14	6	3	5	+4	21
8	Podbeskidzie	14	6	3	5	-6	21
9	Lechia Gdansk	14	6	2	6	+5	20
10	Jagiellonia	14	5	5	4	+3	20
11	Warta Poznan	14	6	2	6	+0	20
12	Lech Poznan	14	4	6	4	+2	18
13	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	3	6	+0	18
14	Stal Mielec	13	4	4	5	-7	16
15	Wisla	14	4	2	8	-4	14
16	Wisla Plock	14	3	4	7	-5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	14	10	3	1	+14	33
2	Rakow	13	6	5	2	+8	23
3	Pogon Szczecin	14	7	1	6	+4	22
4	Piast Gliwice	14	5	6	3	+5	21
5	Lechia Gdansk	14	6	3	5	-1	21
6	Warta Poznan	14	6	2	6	+1	20
7	Wisla	14	3	7	4	+1	16
8	Wisla Plock	14	4	4	6	-6	16
9	Lech Poznan	14	4	3	7	-2	15
10	Zaglebie	14	4	3	7	-3	15
11	Gornik Zabrze	14	4	3	7	-4	15
12	Jagiellonia	14	4	2	8	-11	14
13	Cracovia	14	2	7	5	-4	13
14	Slask Wroclaw	14	3	3	8	-5	12
15	Stal Mielec	14	2	5	7	-8	11
16	Podbeskidzie	14	0	3	11	-24	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.