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Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
Dortmund
S S S U S
1–0
Full-time
FC Koln
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,8
3,3
Scored
3,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,06 xG 1,25
67% Possession 33%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Mar -23 Dortmund – FC Koln 6–1 1. Oct -22 FC Koln – Dortmund 3–2 20. Mar -22 FC Koln – Dortmund 1–1 30. Oct -21 Dortmund – FC Koln 2–0 20. Mar -21 FC Koln – Dortmund 2–2

Match report

Dortmund FC Koln
Half-time 0–0
52′
🔁 S. Adamyan
↦ D. Selke
Y. Moukoko 🔁
↦ S. Haller
59′
F. Nmecha 🔁
↦ E. Can
59′
66′
🔁 M. Olesen
↦ F. Kainz
66′
🔁 M. Finkgräfe
↦ L. Waldschmidt
K. Adeyemi 🔁
↦ M. Reus
69′
M. Wolf 🔁
↦ R. Bensebaïni
83′
T. Hazard 🔁
↦ J. Ryerson
84′
1–0 D. Malen ⚽
F. Nmecha
88′
Donyell Malen 🟨
91′
91′
🔁 L. Kilian
↦ R. Carstensen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
26 J. Ryerson D
25 N. Süle D
15 M. Hummels D
5 R. Bensebaïni D
20 M. Sabitzer M
23 E. Can M
21 D. Malen M
11 M. Reus M
19 J. Brandt M
9 S. Haller F
Bench (9)
18 Y. Moukoko
8 F. Nmecha
27 K. Adeyemi
17 M. Wolf
10 T. Hazard
4 N. Schlotterbeck
6 S. Özcan
33 A. Meyer
43 J. Bynoe-Gittens

Coach: E. Terzić

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schwäbe G
2 B. Schmitz D
4 T. Hübers D
24 J. Chabot D
17 L. Paqarada D
7 D. Ljubičić M
6 E. Martel M
18 R. Carstensen M
11 F. Kainz M
9 L. Waldschmidt M
27 D. Selke F
Bench (9)
23 S. Adamyan
47 M. Olesen
35 M. Finkgräfe
15 L. Kilian
8 D. Huseinbašić
19 D. Limnios
3 K. Pedersen
22 J. Christensen
20 P. Pentke

Coach: S. Baumgart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
🔒
U
5,21
🔒
B
7,24
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,43
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,83
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.