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Ekstraklasa

Referee: M Kochanek

Puszcza

S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Stal Mielec

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puszcza Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 21%

25%

17%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

4,3

1,2

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

2,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

3,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,59 xG 0,48

31% Possession 69%

5 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

24 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Puszcza 18. · Stal Mielec 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+3	-3.1	7
2	Zaglebie	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.3	7
3	Legia	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
4	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.5	6
5	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
6	Rakow	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.0	4
7	Warta Poznan	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
8	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
9	Widzew Lodz	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.8	3
10	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.7	3
11	Ruch Chorzow	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.3	3
12	LKS Lodz	3	1	0	2	-4	–	3
13	Stal Mielec	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
14	Piast Gliwice	3	0	2	1	-1	+4.2	2
15	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
16	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
17	Gornik Zabrze	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1
18	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
2	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	Rakow	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.0	4
4	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
5	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
6	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
7	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
8	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
9	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.4	3
10	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
11	Stal Mielec	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
12	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
13	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
14	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
15	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+3.6	0
16	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.6	4
2	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
3	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
4	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
6	Piast Gliwice	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
7	Warta Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
9	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
10	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.2	0
11	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
12	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
13	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0
14	Ruch Chorzow	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.3	0
15	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.