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Primeira Liga

Referee: André Narciso

Guimaraes

S T S T S

2–1

Full-time

Gil Vicente

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Gil Vicente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,94 xG 1,17

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

7 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guimaraes 9. · Gil Vicente 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	+2	+1.3	6
2	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	+5	+0.6	3
3	Casa Pia	2	1	1	+2	+1.4	3
4	Rio Ave	1	1	0	+2	+3.0	3
5	Arouca	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	3
6	Boavista	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Famalicao	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	3
8	Porto	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	3
9	Guimaraes	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	3
10	Estoril	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
11	Benfica	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
12	Vizela	1	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
13	Sp Braga	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
14	Moreirense	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
15	Estrela	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
16	Chaves	1	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
17	Farense	1	0	1	-3	-1.5	0
18	Portimonense	1	0	1	-5	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	+5	+0.6	3
2	Rio Ave	1	1	0	+2	+3.0	3
3	Arouca	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	3
4	Boavista	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	3
5	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	3
6	Sp Braga	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
7	Moreirense	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
8	Casa Pia	1	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
9	Estrela	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
10	Farense	1	0	1	-3	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Casa Pia	1	1	0	+3	+1.5	3
2	Famalicao	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Guimaraes	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Estoril	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
7	Benfica	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
8	Vizela	1	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
9	Chaves	1	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
10	Portimonense	1	0	1	-5	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.