Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Toulouse

U U U S S

1–1

Full-time

Paris SG

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Toulouse Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

0,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,22 xG 2,12

24% Possession 76%

8 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 6. · Paris SG 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.1	4
2	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.7	4
3	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
4	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
6	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
8	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
12	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
13	Metz	2	0	1	1	-4	-5.4	1
14	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
15	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
16	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
17	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
18	Lyon	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.9	3
2	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
5	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
6	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
7	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
8	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
9	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
11	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
5	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
6	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
9	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
10	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
11	Metz	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.