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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias
Sociedad
S S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Celta
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,71 xG 1,13
52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 9. · Celta 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +2 +1.4 6
2 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.5 3
3 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.5 3
4 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.0 3
5 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.7 3
6 Betis 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.1 3
7 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
8 Villarreal 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.4 3
9 Sociedad 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
10 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
11 Getafe 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.9 1
12 Barcelona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.9 1
13 Las Palmas 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.7 1
14 Mallorca 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.9 1
15 Sevilla 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
16 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
17 Granada 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
18 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.5 0
19 Celta 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.0 0
20 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Celta
1–0 Ander Barrenetxea
Takefusa Kubo
22′
Martín Zubimendi 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Joseph Aidoo
↦ Hugo Sotelo
51′
🟨 Iago Aspas
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ Ander Barrenetxea
64′
Umar Sadiq 🔁
↦ Carlos Fernández
64′
Robin Le Normand 🟨
69′
Jon Pacheco 🔁
↦ Beñat Turrientes
78′
Mohamed-Ali Cho 🔁
↦ Takefusa Kubo
78′
Álex Sola 🔁
↦ Hamari Traore
78′
84′
🔁 Carlos Dotor
↦ Luca De La Torre
84′
🔁 Miguel Rodríguez
↦ Jørgen Strand Larsen
84′
🔁 Franco Cervi
↦ Manuel Sánchez
90′
🔁 Williot Swedberg
↦ Iago Aspas
94′
Óscar Mingueza 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Hamari Traore D
5 Igor Zubeldia D
24 Robin Le Normand D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
22 Beñat Turrientes M
14 Takefusa Kubo F
9 Carlos Fernández F
7 Ander Barrenetxea F
Bench (12)
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
19 Umar Sadiq
20 Jon Pacheco
2 Álex Sola
11 Mohamed-Ali Cho
37 Aitor Fraga
32 Unai Marrero
15 Diego Rico
26 Urko González
17 Robert Navarro
29 Pablo Marín
27 Jon Karrikaburu

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Celta

4-4-2
13 Iván Villar G
3 Óscar Mingueza D
2 Carl Starfelt D
4 Unai Núñez D
23 Manuel Sánchez D
14 Luca De La Torre M
8 Fran Beltrán M
30 Hugo Sotelo M
17 Jonathan Bamba M
10 Iago Aspas F
18 Jørgen Strand Larsen F
Bench (11)
15 Joseph Aidoo
6 Carlos Dotor
11 Franco Cervi
29 Miguel Rodríguez
19 Williot Swedberg
26 Coke Carrillo
1 Agustín Marchesín
28 Carlos Domínguez
20 Kevin Vázquez
24 Gabri Veiga
5 Renato Tapia

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U ✓
3,50
B
5,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,40
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.