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Superligaen

Referee: J Sundberg

Aarhus

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Brondby

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Brondby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 63%

63%

Points per game

2,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

63%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

75%

38%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

2,1

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 3. · Brondby 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	9	5	3	1	+11	+1.6	18
2	FC Copenhagen	9	5	2	2	+9	+8.0	17
3	Aarhus	8	5	2	1	+9	+4.5	17
4	Brondby	8	5	0	3	+2	+3.8	15
5	Nordsjaelland	8	4	0	4	-2	+0.2	12
6	Sonderjyske	9	3	2	4	-2	-5.5	11
7	Fredericia	9	3	2	4	-3	-5.4	11
8	Odense	9	3	2	4	-6	+4.6	11
9	Randers FC	8	3	1	4	-5	-0.9	10
10	Silkeborg	9	3	1	5	-6	-2.8	10
11	Viborg	9	3	0	6	-4	-2.5	9
12	Vejle	9	1	3	5	-3	-5.5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	5	3	2	0	+8	+4.0	11
2	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+1	+1.7	9
3	Odense	5	3	0	2	-1	+3.3	9
4	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+3	+6.7	7
5	Sonderjyske	4	2	1	1	+2	-3.7	7
6	Fredericia	5	2	1	2	-1	-1.0	7
7	Silkeborg	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.0	6
8	Nordsjaelland	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.4	6
9	FC Copenhagen	4	1	2	1	+1	+5.3	5
10	Vejle	5	1	2	2	+1	-2.4	5
11	Viborg	4	1	0	3	-2	-2.0	3
12	Randers FC	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	5	4	0	1	+8	+2.8	12
2	Aarhus	4	3	1	0	+6	-2.2	10
3	Midtjylland	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.4	7
4	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+1.6	7
5	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.1	6
6	Nordsjaelland	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.3	6
7	Viborg	5	2	0	3	-2	-0.5	6
8	Fredericia	4	1	1	2	-2	-4.5	4
9	Sonderjyske	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.7	4
10	Silkeborg	5	1	1	3	-5	-4.8	4
11	Odense	4	0	2	2	-5	+1.4	2
12	Vejle	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.