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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Steinar Hauge
Stabaek
T U S U U
3–0
Full-time
Raufoss
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Raufoss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 21%
14%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
55%
64%
Both score Ø 75%
73%
77%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 14. · Raufoss 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 23 18 5 0 +45 59
2 Start 23 12 5 6 +16 41
3 Aalesund 21 10 8 3 +14 38
4 Lyn 22 10 5 7 +10 35
5 Sogndal 22 10 5 7 +3 35
6 Kongsvinger 21 9 7 5 +8 34
7 Ranheim 22 9 5 8 -5 32
8 Egersund 20 8 6 6 +0 30
9 hodd 23 8 6 9 -8 30
10 Odd 23 7 6 10 -2 27
11 Raufoss 22 6 8 8 -1 26
12 Moss 23 7 5 11 -11 26
13 Asane 23 6 7 10 -10 25
14 Stabaek 22 3 9 10 -12 18
15 Mjondalen 23 3 6 14 -28 15
16 Skeid 23 1 9 13 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Raufoss
M. Nielsen 🟨
17′
35′
🟨 E. Mensah
J. Isaksen 🔁
↦ K. Onsrud
41′
0–1 K. Hay
own goal
45′
Half-time 0–1
55′
🔁 O. Rotihaug
↦ E. Mensah
1–1 B. Diabate
A. Andresen
61′
2–1 J. Isaksen
A. Andresen
65′
68′
🟨 O. Rotihaug
A. Bawa 🔁
↦ R. E. Vinge
68′
K. Ekorness 🔁
↦ A. Andresen
68′
70′
🔁 N. Fremstad
↦ K. Steinset
72′
🟨 K. Hay
76′
🟨 A. Hansen
81′
🔁 K. Badjie
↦ V. Fors
81′
🔁 T. E. Engebakken
↦ S. Nordbo
J. Nysveen 🔁
83′
F. Ellegaard 🔁
↦ M. Hellan
83′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stabaek

24 M. Sjoeng
14 M. Nielsen
20 A. Andresen
5 J. Skjelvik
13 M. Hellan
2 K. Pedersen
6 A. Matic
21 K. Onsrud
9 B. Diabate
17 S. Olderheim
7 R. E. Vinge
Bench (9)
41 K. Lokkevik
8 M. Lankhof-Dahlby
15 O. Veum
18 A. Bawa
25 D. Afrim
26 J. Nysveen
28 J. Isaksen
29 K. Ekorness
30 F. Ellegaard

Coach: Mikael Lennart Tage Stahre

Raufoss

1 A. Klemensson
22 V. Fors
3 R. Bonde
15 K. Hay
4 A. Hansen
17 S. Nordbo
23 J. S. Selnaes
14 J. Lynum
9 E. Hustad
18 E. Mensah
27 K. Steinset
Bench (9)
28 P. Jensen
33 M. Dalby
5 O. Rotihaug
10 K. Badjie
11 N. Fremstad
16 O. Sveen
24 M. Aanesland
25 T. E. Engebakken
31 U. Danbolt

Coach: Thomas William Dent

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.