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Super League

Referee: Dimitrios Moschou

Larisa

T S T U U

1–1

Full-time

AEK

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,3

1,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 24

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 11

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Larisa 12. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Olympiakos	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	AEK	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Aris Thessalonikis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Aris	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Panetolikos	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Volos NFC	5	2	0	3	-4	6
8	Levadeiakos	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Atromitos	5	1	1	3	-1	4
10	Kifisia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
11	OFI Crete	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Larisa	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Panathinaikos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Asteras Tripolis	4	0	1	3	-4	1
15	Panserraikos	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Olympiakos	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	AEK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Levadeiakos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Aris	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Kifisia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
8	Volos NFC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Larisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Panathinaikos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Panserraikos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	OFI Crete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Atromitos	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Panetolikos	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panetolikos	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Aris Thessalonikis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Aris	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Atromitos	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Olympiakos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	OFI Crete	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	AEK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Volos NFC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Levadeiakos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Kifisia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Larisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Panathinaikos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Asteras Tripolis	3	0	0	3	-4	0
15	Panserraikos	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.