Superligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aarhus
Vejle
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Copenhagen
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | +4.4 | 13 |
| 2 |
Midtjylland
|
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +8 | +1.0 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brondby
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | +3.5 | 12 |
| 4 |
Fredericia
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | -1.6 | 10 |
| 5 |
Aarhus
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | +0.4 | 8 |
| 6 |
Odense
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -5 | +2.4 | 8 |
| 7 |
Randers FC
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -2.4 | 7 |
| 8 |
Sonderjyske
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -3.3 | 7 |
| 9 |
Viborg
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -3.3 | 6 |
| 10 |
Silkeborg
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -5 | +2.3 | 6 |
| 11 |
Vejle
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -2.2 | 4 |
| 12 |
Nordsjaelland
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 | -1.3 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Hansen
G
F. Beijmo
D
F. Tingager
D
E. Kahl
D
R. Carstensen
M
M. Madsen
M
G. Links
M
T. Bech
F
P. Mortensen
F
K. Arnstad
Coach: Jakob Poulsen
T. Lauritsen
M
C. Gammelgaard
M
A. Chiakha
F
Coach: Claus Norgaard
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Odense
Aarhus
FC Copenhagen
Aarhus
Aarhus
Midtjylland
Aarhus
Randers FC
Sonderjyske
Aarhus
M Tykgaard · 28 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.