← Match Finder
Superligaen
Referee: M Tykgaard
Aarhus
U T U S S
1–0
Full-time
Vejle
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Aarhus Vejle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,15 xG 0,80
55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 5. · Vejle 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 6 4 1 1 +6 +4.4 13
2 Midtjylland 6 3 3 0 +8 +1.0 12
3 Brondby 6 4 0 2 +3 +3.5 12
4 Fredericia 6 3 1 2 +1 -1.6 10
5 Aarhus 5 2 2 1 +4 +0.4 8
6 Odense 6 2 2 2 -5 +2.4 8
7 Randers FC 6 2 1 3 -2 -2.4 7
8 Sonderjyske 6 2 1 3 -3 -3.3 7
9 Viborg 5 2 0 3 -1 -3.3 6
10 Silkeborg 6 2 0 4 -5 +2.3 6
11 Vejle 5 1 1 3 -1 -2.2 4
12 Nordsjaelland 5 1 0 4 -5 -1.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Vejle
1–0 P. Mortensen
G. Links
7′
Kristian Arnstad 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Enggaard
↦ T. Lauritsen
46′
🔁 B. Edjeodji
↦ C. Gammelgaard
54′
🟨 Mike Vestergård
H. Dalsgaard 🔁
↦ R. Carstensen
63′
F. Emmery 🔁
↦ K. Arnstad
63′
66′
🔁 W. Faghir
↦ A. Chiakha
66′
🔁 L. Flo
↦ V. Lund
68′
🟨 Mikkel Duelund
J. Serra 🔁
↦ P. Mortensen
81′
84′
🔁 J. Amon
↦ M. Duelund
L. Callo 🔁
↦ T. Bech
90′
S. Jorgensen 🔁
↦ G. Links
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-3
1 J. Hansen G
2 F. Beijmo D
5 F. Tingager D
19 E. Kahl D
29 R. Carstensen M
6 N. Poulsen M
7 M. Madsen M
11 G. Links M
31 T. Bech F
9 P. Mortensen F
10 K. Arnstad
Bench (9)
22 L. Wahlstedt
40 J. Jensen-Abbew
3 H. Dalsgaard
33 L. Callo
17 K. Yakob
39 F. Emmery
8 S. Jorgensen
27 S. Tchamche
13 J. Serra

Coach: Jakob Poulsen

Vejle

4-2-3-1
1 I. Vekic G
2 T. Gundelund D
4 L. Nielsen D
5 V. Lund D
3 C. Sorensen D
8 T. Lauritsen M
6 M. Vestergaard M
7 C. Gammelgaard M
17 A. Hjulsager M
10 M. Duelund M
29 A. Chiakha F
Bench (9)
11 J. Amon
19 W. Faghir
20 A. Camara
22 A. Sonderskov
23 L. Flo
24 T. H. Jakobsen
30 M. Enggaard
32 B. Edjeodji
80 A. Pitu

Coach: Claus Norgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Tykgaard · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.