Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Altach
Tirol
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SK Rapid
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | +0.8 | 16 |
| 2 |
Sturm Graz
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +7 | +2.9 | 12 |
| 3 |
Salzburg
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | +4.2 | 11 |
| 4 |
Wolfsberger AC
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4 | +0.1 | 11 |
| 5 |
Altach
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | +1.1 | 11 |
| 6 |
Hartberg
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | -0.4 | 10 |
| 7 |
Austria Vienna
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +0.0 | 10 |
| 8 |
Tirol
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | +3.9 | 8 |
| 9 |
Ried
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -2.4 | 7 |
| 10 |
BW Linz
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | -2.2 | 4 |
| 11 |
LASK
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -9 | -5.0 | 3 |
| 12 |
Grazer AK
|
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -11 | -3.0 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Stojanovic
G
L. Jager
D
B. Zech
D
P. Koller
D
M. Bahre
M
P. Greil
M
Y. Massombo
M
M. Ouedraogo
M
O. Diawara
F
Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch
M. Boras
D
J. Lawrence
D
D. Kubatta
D
V. Muller
M
M. Taferner
M
B. Bockle
M
M. Wels
F
T. Sabitzer
F
A. Ola-Adebomi
F
Coach: Philipp Semlic
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Altach
LASK
Austria Vienna
Altach
Altach
Grazer AK
SK Rapid
Altach
Altach
Ried
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.