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Bundesliga
Referee: Christian-Petru Ciochirca
LASK
T S T T T
2–0
Full-time
BW Linz
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK BW Linz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%
12 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 11. · BW Linz 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 SK Rapid 6 5 1 0 +7 +0.8 16
2 Sturm Graz 6 4 0 2 +7 +2.9 12
3 Salzburg 7 3 2 2 +5 +4.2 11
4 Wolfsberger AC 7 3 2 2 +4 +0.1 11
5 Altach 6 3 2 1 +3 +1.1 11
6 Hartberg 7 3 1 3 +1 -0.4 10
7 Austria Vienna 7 3 1 3 -2 +0.0 10
8 Tirol 5 2 2 1 +1 +3.9 8
9 Ried 7 2 1 4 -2 -2.4 7
10 BW Linz 6 1 1 4 -4 -2.2 4
11 LASK 6 1 0 5 -9 -5.0 3
12 Grazer AK 6 0 3 3 -11 -3.0 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

LASK BW Linz
28′
🔁 F. Strauss
↦ A. Briedl
35′
🔁 Joao Luiz
↦ S. Weissman
36′
🟨 Alem Pašić
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Christopher Cvetko
George Bello 🟨
57′
M. Entrup 🔁
↦ S. Kalajdzic
57′
Samuel Adeniran 🟨
63′
I. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ S. Adeniran
70′
K. Danek 🔁
↦ L. Kacavenda
70′
80′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ C. Cvetko
80′
🔁 Ronivaldo
↦
C. Lang 🔁
↦ V. Berisha
81′
1–0 C. Lang ⚽
M. Cisse
86′
Christoph Lang 🟨
87′
2–0 K. Danek ⚽
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

LASK

4-4-2
1 L. Jungwirth G
20 K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen D
48 M. Cisse D
43 Alemao D
2 G. Bello D
8 M. Usor M
14 V. Berisha M
30 S. Horvath M
44 L. Kacavenda M
7 S. Adeniran F
10 S. Kalajdzic F
Bench (9)
33 T. Schutzenauer
16 A. Andrade
6 M. Bogarde
41 E. Michael
4 I. Coulibaly
9 K. Danek
11 M. Entrup
27 C. Lang
19 L. Pintor

Coach: João Pedro Machado Sacramento

BW Linz

3-4-1-2
1 V. Baier G
17 A. Pasic D
15 M. Maranda D
4 E. Bakatukanda D
28 Anderson M
19 A. Briedl M
14 C. Cvetko M
60 S. Pirkl M
10 P. Mensah F
27 T. Goiginger F
18 S. Weissman F
Bench (9)
24 T. Turner
23 D. Bumberger
16 M. Moormann
2 F. Strauss
11 Joao Luiz
6 M. Fofana
29 D. Reiter
25 M. Huskovic
9 Ronivaldo

Coach: Mitja Mörec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.