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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Zwolle
S S S T T
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 35%
50%
20%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
25%
100%
Both score Ø 43%
25%
60%
Average goals
2,3
3,6
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,49 xG 2,07
28% Possession 72%
8 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 13. · Go Ahead Eagles 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Feyenoord 5 5 0 0 +10 +7.2 15
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +9 +3.0 12
3 Groningen 6 4 0 2 +3 +0.2 12
4 Ajax 5 3 2 0 +6 +6.7 11
5 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 1 0 +5 +4.3 10
6 For Sittard 6 3 1 2 +1 -2.9 10
7 Nijmegen 5 3 0 2 +8 +7.2 9
8 Utrecht 6 3 0 3 +6 +1.3 9
9 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 0 3 -8 -4.7 9
10 Twente 6 2 1 3 +1 +4.3 7
11 NAC Breda 6 2 1 3 -4 -5.6 7
12 Go Ahead Eagles 5 1 3 1 +0 -2.1 6
13 Zwolle 4 2 0 2 -1 -1.0 6
14 Excelsior 6 2 0 4 -8 -5.3 6
15 Volendam 6 0 4 2 -4 -4.8 4
16 Telstar 6 1 1 4 -6 -1.2 4
17 Heerenveen 5 0 2 3 -3 +4.3 2
18 Heracles 6 0 0 6 -15 -10.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Go Ahead Eagles
Jamiro Monteiro 🟥
2′
Z. Buurmeester 🔁
↦ D. Mbayo
26′
28′
🟨 Evert Linthorst
33′
🔁 M. Smit
↦ E. Linthorst
34′
🟨 Mathis Suray
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Margaret
↦ K. Goudmijn
68′
🔁 O. Pettersson
↦ M. Suray
Anselmo Garcia McNulty 🟨
75′
79′
🔁 C. Twigt
↦ M. Meulensteen
79′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ G. Nauber
80′
M. Smit 0–1
O. Pettersson
J. Faberski 🔁
↦ T. Oosting
81′
T. Buitink 🔁
↦ K. Kostons
81′
S. Shoretire 🔁
↦ K. de Rooij
82′
90′
M. Smit 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 T. de Graaff G
3 O. Aertssen D
28 S. Graves D
4 A. Garcia MacNulty D
2 S. Floranus D
25 T. Oosting M
30 R. Thomas M
35 J. Monteiro M
11 D. Mbayo F
10 K. Kostons F
22 K. de Rooij F
Bench (12)
40 N. Dobben
41 D. Verduin
6 T. Gooijer
7 S. Shoretire
8 Z. Buurmeester
19 J. Faberski
20 G. Reiziger
21 S. Lagsir
26 J. Pereira da Gama
29 T. Buitink
38 G. Renwarin
39 D. Voute

Coach: Henry van der Vegt

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
22 J. De Busser G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
5 D. James D
21 M. Meulensteen M
8 E. Linthorst M
24 K. Goudmijn M
7 J. Breum M
17 M. Suray M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (12)
1 L. Plogmann
33 N. Verdoni
6 C. Twigt
9 M. Smit
11 O. Sivertsen
14 O. Pettersson
15 R. Weijenberg
18 R. Margaret
20 X. Blomme
25 G. van Zwam
27 F. Stokkers
29 A. Adelgaard

Coach: Melvin Boel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,42
U
3,61
B ✓
2,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.