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Superligaen

Referee: M Krogh

Odense

U U S T S

1–5

Full-time

Aarhus

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odense Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

4,8

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,73 xG 2,65

49% Possession 51%

16 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 5

1 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Odense 5. · Aarhus 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	5	4	0	1	+6	+5.0	12
2	Brondby	5	4	0	1	+5	+3.1	12
3	Midtjylland	5	2	3	0	+6	-0.1	9
4	Fredericia	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.4	7
5	Odense	4	2	1	1	-1	+1.7	7
6	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.6	7
7	Viborg	5	2	0	3	-1	-3.3	6
8	Silkeborg	5	2	0	3	-3	+3.4	6
9	Aarhus	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.5	5
10	Vejle	5	1	1	3	-1	-2.2	4
11	Sonderjyske	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.9	4
12	Nordsjaelland	5	1	0	4	-5	-1.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Odense	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
2	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.4	6
3	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+4	+1.2	5
4	Vejle	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.2	4
5	Sonderjyske	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
6	FC Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.5	3
7	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.9	3
8	Viborg	3	1	0	2	-1	-2.4	3
9	Randers FC	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.2	3
10	Fredericia	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.7	3
11	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.3	1
12	Nordsjaelland	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.5	9
2	Brondby	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.7	6
3	Fredericia	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
4	Midtjylland	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.3	4
5	Aarhus	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
6	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.3	4
7	Viborg	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
8	Nordsjaelland	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.9	3
9	Silkeborg	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.4	3
10	Odense	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.3	1
11	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.9	0
12	Sonderjyske	3	0	0	3	-6	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.