Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

PSV Eindhoven

S S T S T

2–2

Full-time

Ajax

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,8

2,7

Scored

3,0

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

80%

60%

Points per game

2,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

5,0

2,8

Scored

3,4

2,0

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,45 xG 2,18

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Ajax 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	+7.2	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+9	+3.0	12
3	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+3	+0.2	12
4	Ajax	5	3	2	0	+6	+6.7	11
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.3	10
6	For Sittard	6	3	1	2	+1	-2.9	10
7	Nijmegen	5	3	0	2	+8	+7.2	9
8	Utrecht	6	3	0	3	+6	+1.3	9
9	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.5	9
10	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	0	3	-8	-4.7	9
11	Twente	6	2	1	3	+1	+4.3	7
12	NAC Breda	6	2	1	3	-4	-5.6	7
13	Zwolle	5	2	0	3	-3	-2.5	6
14	Excelsior	6	2	0	4	-8	-5.3	6
15	Volendam	6	0	4	2	-4	-4.8	4
16	Telstar	6	1	1	4	-6	-1.2	4
17	Heerenveen	5	0	2	3	-3	+4.3	2
18	Heracles	6	0	0	6	-15	-10.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Groningen	3	3	0	0	+7	+0.9	9
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+6	+5.0	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.8	9
4	For Sittard	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
5	Nijmegen	3	2	0	1	+6	+5.0	6
6	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+6	+1.5	6
7	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+5	+1.9	6
8	NAC Breda	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.9	6
9	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.6	4
10	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
11	Excelsior	3	1	0	2	-1	-3.6	3
12	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.0	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	-7	-3.4	3
14	Heerenveen	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.7	2
15	Volendam	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.9	2
16	Twente	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.8	1
17	Telstar	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.4	1
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-4	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+2	+4.2	7
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.4	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.0	6
4	Twente	4	2	0	2	+3	+3.5	6
5	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	-1	-1.4	6
6	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.1	5
7	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.3	3
8	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	+0	-0.1	3
9	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
10	For Sittard	3	1	0	2	-1	-3.7	3
11	Telstar	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
12	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-4	-0.8	3
13	Excelsior	3	1	0	2	-7	-1.6	3
14	Ajax	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.7	2
15	Volendam	3	0	2	1	-3	-2.9	2
16	NAC Breda	3	0	1	2	-5	-7.5	1
17	Heerenveen	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.6	0
18	Heracles	4	0	0	4	-11	-6.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.