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Superligaen

Referee: M Redder

FC Copenhagen

S S S S U

2–3

Full-time

Aarhus

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,21 xG 2,28

61% Possession 39%

19 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Copenhagen 1. · Aarhus 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.4	9
2	Randers FC	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.4	7
3	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.9	6
4	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+4	-0.5	5
5	Vejle	3	1	1	1	+2	-1.4	4
6	Odense	3	1	1	1	-2	+0.7	4
7	Sonderjyske	3	1	1	1	-3	-1.9	4
8	Nordsjaelland	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.5	3
9	Viborg	3	1	0	2	-1	-2.7	3
10	Fredericia	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.8	3
11	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.5	2
12	Silkeborg	3	0	0	3	-6	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	2	1	1	0	+4	+1.2	4
2	Vejle	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.2	4
3	Sonderjyske	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
4	Odense	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
5	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
6	Brondby	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
7	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.3	1
9	Viborg	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
10	Nordsjaelland	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
11	Silkeborg	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
12	Fredericia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.8	6
2	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	4
3	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
4	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Nordsjaelland	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
6	Viborg	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
7	Aarhus	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
8	Midtjylland	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
9	Odense	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.3	1
10	Vejle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
11	Sonderjyske	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.4	0
12	Silkeborg	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.