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Taça de Portugal

Alpendorada

T S T

7–1

Full-time

Estrela Calheta

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	AD Marco 09	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
5	Peniche	1	1	0	0	+8	3
6	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Atlético Malveira	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Correlhã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Farense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Comércio Indústria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Nazarenos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2	1	0	1	-3	3
44	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
45	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
88	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
89	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
90	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0
91	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
92	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
4	Peniche	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Correlhã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Comércio Indústria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Nazarenos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
25	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
44	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
45	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Atlético Malveira	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Farense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
48	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
49	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.