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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Sundberg

Brondby

S U U S T

4–2

Full-time

Aarhus

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DBU Pokalen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Brondby 17. · Aarhus 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kolding IF	6	4	0	2	+9	12
2	FC Copenhagen	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Viborg	5	3	2	0	+13	11
4	Brabrand	6	3	2	1	+0	11
5	Aalborg	4	3	1	0	+12	10
6	Skive	4	3	0	1	+12	9
7	Næsby	4	3	0	1	+11	9
8	Esbjerg	4	3	0	1	+9	9
9	Frem	4	3	0	1	+9	9
10	Aarhus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
11	Holbæk B&I	4	3	0	1	+0	9
12	Silkeborg	3	2	1	0	+8	7
13	Holstebro	3	2	0	1	+10	6
14	Fredericia	3	2	0	1	+9	6
15	Ishøj	3	2	0	1	+8	6
16	Sonderjyske	3	2	0	1	+7	6
17	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+5	6
18	HB Koge	3	2	0	1	+4	6
19	B 93	3	2	0	1	+3	6
20	Avarta	3	2	0	1	+2	6
21	Hillerød	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Hvidovre IF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	Roskilde	3	2	0	1	+1	6
24	VSK Århus	3	2	0	1	+1	6
25	FC Helsingor	3	2	0	1	+0	6
26	Vendsyssel FF	3	2	0	1	-3	6
27	Middelfart	3	1	2	0	+1	5
28	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+5	4
29	Nykobing FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
30	Fremad Amager	3	1	1	1	+0	4
31	Brønshøj	3	1	1	1	-2	4
32	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+9	3
33	Randers FC	2	1	0	1	+9	3
34	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	1	0	1	+3	3
35	OKS	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Hobro	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	Midtjylland	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	AB Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Vejgaard B	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Allerød	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Aarhus Fremad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	SGI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	NB Bornholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	Herlev	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Thisted FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	B 1908	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	B 1913	2	1	0	1	-4	3
52	Solrød	2	1	0	1	-4	3
53	Give Fremad	2	1	0	1	-4	3
54	Morud/Veflinge	2	1	0	1	-6	3
55	ACFC	2	1	0	1	-8	3
56	Vejle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Kolding B	2	0	1	1	-1	1
60	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	FB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
97	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
98	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
99	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
100	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
101	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
102	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
103	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
104	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brabrand	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Holbæk B&I	3	2	0	1	-3	6
3	Middelfart	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Skive	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Frem	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	VSK Århus	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Næsby	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	NB Bornholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Solrød	2	1	0	1	-4	3
16	Morud/Veflinge	2	1	0	1	-6	3
17	Silkeborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Nykobing FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Kolding B	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Brønshøj	2	0	1	1	-3	1
21	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Ishøj	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Sonderjyske	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Vanløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	OKS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Kolding IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Vejgaard B	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Fredericia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	SGI	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	B 1908	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	FB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
77	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
78	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
79	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
80	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
81	ACFC	1	0	0	1	-9	0
82	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
83	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0
84	B 1913	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kolding IF	5	4	0	1	+11	12
2	Aalborg	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	Esbjerg	3	3	0	0	+11	9
4	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Viborg	4	2	2	0	+7	8
6	Næsby	2	2	0	0	+13	6
7	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+12	6
8	Holstebro	3	2	0	1	+10	6
9	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+9	6
10	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+8	6
11	Silkeborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	Frem	2	2	0	0	+8	6
13	Skive	2	2	0	0	+8	6
14	HB Koge	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Hillerød	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	B 93	3	2	0	1	+3	6
17	Aarhus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
19	Avarta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
20	Hvidovre IF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	FC Helsingor	3	2	0	1	+0	6
23	Fremad Amager	2	1	1	0	+5	4
24	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+5	4
25	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+10	3
26	Randers FC	2	1	0	1	+9	3
27	B 1913	1	1	0	0	+6	3
28	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
29	Brondby	2	1	0	1	+4	3
30	OKS	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	SGI	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+3	3
36	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+3	3
37	Hobro	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	Midtjylland	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	AB Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Aarhus Fremad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	ACFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Give Fremad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Herlev	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	B 1908	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Thisted FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Brabrand	2	1	0	1	-4	3
50	Vejle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.