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Serie B

Referee: Simone Galipo

Padova

T T T U T

2–1

Full-time

Virtus Entella

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Padova Virtus Entella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,3

1,7

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,8

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

10 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 8

4 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Padova 18. · Virtus Entella 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Palermo	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Cesena	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Monza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Avellino	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Juve Stabia	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Carrarese	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Virtus Entella	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Venezia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Pescara	4	1	1	2	+1	4
14	Catanzaro	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Empoli	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Mantova	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Spezia	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Padova	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Bari	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Monza	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Modena	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Pescara	3	1	1	1	+2	4
5	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Empoli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Venezia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sudtirol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Mantova	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Juve Stabia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Carrarese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Juve Stabia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Carrarese	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Avellino	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Sudtirol	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Venezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Padova	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Mantova	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Bari	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.