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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Grotta

Stromsgodset

S T U S S

2–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 29%

24%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

76%

62%

Both score Ø 62%

57%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,23 xG 1,28

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 15. · Sarpsborg 08 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	22	15	4	3	+39	+35.0	49
2	Viking	21	14	4	3	+22	+18.7	46
3	Brann	21	13	4	4	+11	+17.7	43
4	Tromso	21	12	3	6	+7	+4.6	39
5	Rosenborg	21	9	7	5	+5	+5.6	34
6	Fredrikstad	21	8	7	6	+4	-1.4	31
7	Valerenga	22	9	4	9	+1	-4.6	31
8	KFUM Oslo	22	7	8	7	+7	+7.1	29
9	Sandefjord	21	9	1	11	+4	-5.4	28
10	Sarpsborg 08	21	7	7	7	+2	+12.9	28
11	Molde	21	8	3	10	+1	+1.0	27
12	Kristiansund	21	6	6	9	-18	-17.6	24
13	Bryne	22	5	6	11	-12	-4.1	21
14	Ham-Kam	21	5	6	10	-13	-14.1	21
15	Stromsgodset	21	5	1	15	-18	-21.8	16
16	Haugesund	21	1	3	17	-42	-33.6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	1	2	+24	+19.9	25
2	Sandefjord	11	8	0	3	+15	+0.7	24
3	Viking	10	7	2	1	+13	+12.3	23
4	Brann	10	7	2	1	+7	+10.3	23
5	Fredrikstad	12	6	3	3	+7	+0.1	21
6	Rosenborg	10	5	5	0	+10	+8.2	20
7	Tromso	10	6	1	3	+5	+6.0	19
8	Valerenga	11	5	3	3	+6	+0.2	18
9	KFUM Oslo	11	4	4	3	+7	+4.4	16
10	Molde	11	5	1	5	+3	+6.3	16
11	Bryne	11	4	3	4	-3	+3.7	15
12	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	3	4	+1	+3.6	12
13	Ham-Kam	11	3	3	5	-7	-7.2	12
14	Kristiansund	10	2	4	4	-5	-7.9	10
15	Stromsgodset	10	2	0	8	-12	-9.2	6
16	Haugesund	11	1	2	8	-22	-11.1	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	3	1	+15	+15.1	24
2	Viking	11	7	2	2	+9	+6.4	23
3	Brann	11	6	2	3	+4	+7.4	20
4	Tromso	11	6	2	3	+2	-1.3	20
5	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	4	3	+1	+9.3	16
6	Rosenborg	11	4	2	5	-5	-2.7	14
7	Kristiansund	11	4	2	5	-13	-9.7	14
8	KFUM Oslo	11	3	4	4	+0	+2.7	13
9	Valerenga	11	4	1	6	-5	-4.8	13
10	Molde	10	3	2	5	-2	-5.3	11
11	Fredrikstad	9	2	4	3	-3	-1.4	10
12	Stromsgodset	11	3	1	7	-6	-12.7	10
13	Ham-Kam	10	2	3	5	-6	-6.9	9
14	Bryne	11	1	3	7	-9	-7.7	6
15	Sandefjord	10	1	1	8	-11	-6.2	4
16	Haugesund	10	0	1	9	-20	-22.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.