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Superligaen

Referee: L Graagaard

Brondby

U U T U S

2–1

Full-time

Aarhus

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,2

2,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 41%

39%

43%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,31 xG 1,24

40% Possession 60%

13 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

6 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 5. · Aarhus 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	24	13	8	3	+16	+13.5	47
2	Midtjylland	24	14	3	7	+12	+4.9	45
3	Aarhus	23	10	9	4	+21	+9.8	39
4	Randers FC	24	10	8	6	+11	+9.0	38
5	Brondby	23	9	9	5	+12	+6.7	36
6	Silkeborg	24	9	9	6	+9	+4.2	36
7	Nordsjaelland	24	10	5	9	+0	+6.5	35
8	Viborg	24	9	7	8	+4	-6.8	34
9	Aalborg	24	5	7	12	-22	-18.8	22
10	Sonderjyske	24	5	5	14	-25	-15.2	20
11	Lyngby	24	3	9	12	-13	-5.0	18
12	Vejle	24	4	5	15	-25	-9.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	12	10	0	2	+9	+4.2	30
2	FC Copenhagen	12	8	4	0	+12	+9.8	28
3	Aarhus	12	7	5	0	+18	+8.2	26
4	Nordsjaelland	12	7	4	1	+11	+5.3	25
5	Viborg	12	7	2	3	+4	-4.3	23
6	Randers FC	12	6	3	3	+8	+6.8	21
7	Brondby	11	5	5	1	+8	+4.4	20
8	Silkeborg	12	5	4	3	+3	+1.0	19
9	Sonderjyske	12	3	3	6	-13	-8.4	12
10	Aalborg	12	3	3	6	-13	-9.6	12
11	Lyngby	12	2	5	5	-6	+0.0	11
12	Vejle	12	2	4	6	-10	-1.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	12	5	4	3	+4	+3.8	19
2	Silkeborg	12	4	5	3	+6	+3.2	17
3	Randers FC	12	4	5	3	+3	+2.2	17
4	Brondby	12	4	4	4	+4	+2.3	16
5	Midtjylland	12	4	3	5	+3	+0.7	15
6	Aarhus	11	3	4	4	+3	+1.7	13
7	Viborg	12	2	5	5	+0	-2.5	11
8	Aalborg	12	2	4	6	-9	-9.2	10
9	Nordsjaelland	12	3	1	8	-11	+1.1	10
10	Sonderjyske	12	2	2	8	-12	-6.8	8
11	Lyngby	12	1	4	7	-7	-5.0	7
12	Vejle	12	2	1	9	-15	-8.1	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.