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Serie B

Referee: Giuseppe Mucera

Carrarese

U T S U U

3–4

Full-time

Avellino

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Avellino

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,3

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

58% Possession 42%

20 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Carrarese 7. · Avellino 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Palermo	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Cesena	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Monza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Juve Stabia	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	Carrarese	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Virtus Entella	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Venezia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Catanzaro	4	0	4	0	+0	4
14	Avellino	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Mantova	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Spezia	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Pescara	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Padova	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Bari	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Monza	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Modena	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Empoli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Venezia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sudtirol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Mantova	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Juve Stabia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Pescara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Juve Stabia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Carrarese	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sudtirol	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Venezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Padova	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Avellino	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Mantova	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Bari	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.