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Superligaen
Referee: M Redder
Aarhus
S U U S U
0–3
Full-time
Brondby
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
43%
71%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
29%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

24% Possession 76%
4 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 5. · Brondby 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 8 6 1 1 +9 +4.1 19
2 Nordsjaelland 8 5 2 1 +13 +3.0 17
3 Brondby 7 5 0 2 +5 +1.8 15
4 Silkeborg 7 4 1 2 +3 +4.5 13
5 Aarhus 7 3 3 1 +2 +3.4 12
6 Lyngby 8 3 2 3 +0 -1.2 11
7 Midtjylland 8 3 2 3 -3 +0.1 11
8 Viborg 8 2 3 3 -4 +2.6 9
9 Odense 7 2 2 3 +2 -1.6 8
10 Randers FC 8 2 2 4 -10 -2.2 8
11 Vejle 8 1 0 7 -6 -9.1 3
12 Hvidovre IF 8 0 2 6 -11 -5.6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Jun -23 Aarhus – Brondby 3–3 16. Apr -23 Brondby – Aarhus 1–0 23. Oct -22 Aarhus – Brondby 2–2 17. Jul -22 Brondby – Aarhus 1–0 13. Mar -22 Brondby – Aarhus 1–1

Match report

Aarhus Brondby
17′
🔁 J. Radošević
↦ M. Greve
Bailey Peacock-Farrell 🟥
23′
J. Hansen 🔁
↦ M. Duelund
24′
25′
⚽ D. Wass 0–1
28′
🟨 Daniel Wass
40′
⚽ O. Omoijuanfo 0–2
J. Radošević
Half-time 0–2
T. Bech 🔁
↦ F. Beijmo
46′
G. Links 🔁
↦ E. Kahl
46′
48′
🟨 Frederik Alves Ibsen
Nicolai Poulsen 🟨
51′
52′
⚽ N. Vallys 0–3
M. Kvistgaarden
J. Beck 🔁
↦ N. Poulsen
62′
Mikael Anderson 🟨
64′
65′
🔁 H. Evjen
↦ D. Wass
M. Sauer 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
75′
82′
🔁 K. Mensah
↦ S. Klaiber
82′
🔁 O. Schwartau
↦ N. Vallys
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-2-1
45 B. Peacock-Farrell G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
3 M. Knoester D
2 F. Beijmo M
15 M. Knudsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
19 E. Kahl M
20 M. Duelund F
8 M. Anderson F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
1 J. Hansen
31 T. Bech
11 G. Links
16 J. Beck
30 M. Sauer
4 T. Anker
29 F. Brandhof
21 P. Bjur
13 J. Serra

Coach: U. Rösler

Brondby

3-4-1-2
1 P. Pentz G
18 K. Tshiembe D
32 F. Alves D
4 J. Rasmussen D
31 S. Klaiber M
8 M. Greve M
10 D. Wass M
24 M. Divković M
7 N. Vallys F
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
9 O. Omoijuanfo F
Bench (9)
22 J. Radošević
11 H. Evjen
14 K. Mensah
41 O. Schwartau
28 Y. Suzuki
20 M. Kowalczyk
16 T. Mikkelsen
2 S. Sebulonsen
5 R. Lauritsen

Coach: J. Sørensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Redder · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.