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Superligaen
Referee: J Hansen
Hvidovre IF
U T T T S
0–1
Full-time
Lyngby
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hvidovre IF Lyngby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
0%
29%
Points per game
0,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
29%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
29%
57%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,4
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,18 xG 2,15
57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hvidovre IF 12. · Lyngby 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 8 6 1 1 +9 +4.1 19
2 Nordsjaelland 8 5 2 1 +13 +3.0 17
3 Brondby 7 5 0 2 +5 +1.8 15
4 Silkeborg 7 4 1 2 +3 +4.5 13
5 Aarhus 7 3 3 1 +2 +3.4 12
6 Midtjylland 8 3 2 3 -3 +0.1 11
7 Viborg 8 2 3 3 -4 +2.6 9
8 Odense 7 2 2 3 +2 -1.6 8
9 Lyngby 7 2 2 3 -1 -2.1 8
10 Randers FC 8 2 2 4 -10 -2.2 8
11 Vejle 8 1 0 7 -6 -9.1 3
12 Hvidovre IF 7 0 2 5 -10 -4.6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hvidovre IF Lyngby
Half-time 0–0
Philip Rejnhold 🟨
47′
Christian Jakobsen 🟨
53′
Jonas Gemmer 🟨
55′
56′
🔁 Muniesa
↦ A. Bjelland
59′
A. Guðjohnsen 0–1
M. Spelmann 🔁
↦ C. Jakobsen
67′
M. Gehrt 🔁
↦ A. Smed
67′
T. Thomsen 🔁
↦ J. Gemmer
74′
79′
🔁 C. Winther
↦ W. Kumado
79′
🔁 T. Storm
↦ T. Chukwuani
J. Adjei-Broni 🔁
↦ L. Qamili
82′
Full-time 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hansen · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.